Recent polling averages ahead of Spain’s snap general election on November 29 show the Partido Popular (PP) leading with roughly 32-34% support, ahead of PSOE at 25-27% and Vox at 18-19%, positioning PP as the clear frontrunner to finish first. The election was called after the current minority government lost key parliamentary support, leaving traders to price in a high probability of PP emerging as the largest party. Seat projections indicate PP plus Vox would likely secure a working majority in the Congress of Deputies, while PSOE faces structural challenges in rebuilding its coalition. Minor parties and independents remain fragmented with negligible prospects of topping the results. Market pricing reflects these consistent survey trends and the compressed campaign timeline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved



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