The Chicago Bears enter the 2026 NFL season with a 9.5 win total reflecting trader expectations of regression after their 11-6 NFC North title and first playoff victory in 2025. A sixth-toughest schedule, featuring multiple games against 2025 playoff teams plus a first-place slate, combines with defensive turnover regression and notable roster turnover—including the unexpected retirement of center Drew Dalman and free-agent additions like safety Coby Bryant now sidelined on injured reserve. Second-year head coach Ben Johnson and quarterback Caleb Williams provide continuity on offense, but camp injuries to key contributors such as Rome Odunze, Kyler Gordon, and Ozzy Trapilo have added uncertainty ahead of the Week 1 opener at Carolina.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated7.5+ Wins
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8.5+ Wins
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10.5+ Wins
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11.5+ Wins
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7.5+ Wins
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Only official regular-season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after February 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NFL records (https://www.nfl.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nfl.comResolver
0x65070BE91...Only official regular-season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after February 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NFL records (https://www.nfl.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.nfl.comResolver
0x65070BE91...The Chicago Bears enter the 2026 NFL season with a 9.5 win total reflecting trader expectations of regression after their 11-6 NFC North title and first playoff victory in 2025. A sixth-toughest schedule, featuring multiple games against 2025 playoff teams plus a first-place slate, combines with defensive turnover regression and notable roster turnover—including the unexpected retirement of center Drew Dalman and free-agent additions like safety Coby Bryant now sidelined on injured reserve. Second-year head coach Ben Johnson and quarterback Caleb Williams provide continuity on offense, but camp injuries to key contributors such as Rome Odunze, Kyler Gordon, and Ozzy Trapilo have added uncertainty ahead of the Week 1 opener at Carolina.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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