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icon for Pro Football: Sam Darnold 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns
Sports·NFL

Pro Football: Sam Darnold 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns

icon for Pro Football: Sam Darnold 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns
Sports·NFL

Pro Football: Sam Darnold 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns

NEW
Jan 12, 2027
Polymarket

$4,734 Vol.

Polymarket

17.5+ passing TDs

$757 Vol.

40%

20.5+ passing TDs

$2,751 Vol.

51%

23.5+ passing TDs

$105 Vol.

49%

26.5+ passing TDs

$124 Vol.

32%

29.5+ passing TDs

$997 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 17.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 20.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 23.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 26.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 29.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sam Darnold enters the 2026 NFL season as the Seattle Seahawks' starting quarterback following a 2025 campaign of 4,048 passing yards and 25 touchdowns that culminated in a Super Bowl victory. His Week 1 performance against the Patriots was limited to one series due to a hip injury, after which he was ruled out; additional imaging has ruled out fracture but left his Week 2 status uncertain, with Drew Lock handling backup duties. The offense features continuity at wide receiver with Jaxon Smith-Njigba but questions elsewhere amid an aging supporting cast, a new offensive coordinator, and shifts in the backfield. These elements, combined with Darnold's prior turnover rate, shape expectations for his regular-season touchdown total.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 17.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 17.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,734
End Date
Jan 12, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 7:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 17.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 20.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 23.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 26.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 29.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sam Darnold enters the 2026 NFL season as the Seattle Seahawks' starting quarterback following a 2025 campaign of 4,048 passing yards and 25 touchdowns that culminated in a Super Bowl victory. His Week 1 performance against the Patriots was limited to one series due to a hip injury, after which he was ruled out; additional imaging has ruled out fracture but left his Week 2 status uncertain, with Drew Lock handling backup duties. The offense features continuity at wide receiver with Jaxon Smith-Njigba but questions elsewhere amid an aging supporting cast, a new offensive coordinator, and shifts in the backfield. These elements, combined with Darnold's prior turnover rate, shape expectations for his regular-season touchdown total.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 17.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Sam Darnold records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 17.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Sam Darnold does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Sam Darnold recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,734
End Date
Jan 12, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 7:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

NFL 2026
Odds & Predictions

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Pro Football: Sam Darnold 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20.5+ passing TDs" at 51%, followed by "23.5+ passing TDs" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Pro Football: Sam Darnold 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 11, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Pro Football: Sam Darnold 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pro Football: Sam Darnold 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns" is "20.5+ passing TDs" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "23.5+ passing TDs" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pro Football: Sam Darnold 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.