Palantir’s shares have traded in a volatile range near $170 following the August 3 Q2 earnings beat and subsequent guidance raise, with U.S. commercial revenue surging 149% year-over-year and full-year revenue guidance lifted to roughly 82% growth. Recent sovereign AI and PwC partnership announcements provided short-term support, yet the stock pulled back sharply amid broader software-sector weakness, elevated valuation multiples above 140 times trailing earnings, and notable selling by ARK Invest. These dynamics have produced a dispersed probability distribution across closing-price bins for the week of September 7, as traders weigh sustained commercial momentum and analyst targets near $192 against near-term profit-taking and macro rotation risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<$166 34%
$168-$170 15%
$170-$172 13%
$166-$168 13%
<$166
34%
$166-$168
13%
$168-$170
15%
$170-$172
13%
$172-$174
10%
$174-$176
8%
$176-$178
7%
$178-$180
8%
$180-$182
7%
$182-$184
6%
>$184
9%
<$166 34%
$168-$170 15%
$170-$172 13%
$166-$168 13%
<$166
34%
$166-$168
13%
$168-$170
15%
$170-$172
13%
$172-$174
10%
$174-$176
8%
$176-$178
7%
$178-$180
8%
$180-$182
7%
$182-$184
6%
>$184
9%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Palantir’s shares have traded in a volatile range near $170 following the August 3 Q2 earnings beat and subsequent guidance raise, with U.S. commercial revenue surging 149% year-over-year and full-year revenue guidance lifted to roughly 82% growth. Recent sovereign AI and PwC partnership announcements provided short-term support, yet the stock pulled back sharply amid broader software-sector weakness, elevated valuation multiples above 140 times trailing earnings, and notable selling by ARK Invest. These dynamics have produced a dispersed probability distribution across closing-price bins for the week of September 7, as traders weigh sustained commercial momentum and analyst targets near $192 against near-term profit-taking and macro rotation risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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