Shontel Brown holds a commanding position in the Ohio 11th congressional district race due to the seat’s strong Democratic lean, with a partisan voting index around D+28 to D+60, and her status as incumbent. Brown secured the Democratic nomination with 85.5% in the May 2026 primary against two challengers, while Mike Kirchner won the Republican primary. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s consistent Democratic performance in prior cycles and the absence of competitive polling or significant recent developments. Late shifts could theoretically arise from a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts make such outcomes improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOH-11 House Election Winner
OH-11 House Election Winner
$38,426 Vol.
$38,426 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Shontel Brown (D)
98%
Mike Kirchner (R)
1%
$38,426 Vol.
$38,426 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Shontel Brown (D)
$15,629 Vol.
98%
Mike Kirchner (R)
$22,797 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Shontel Brown holds a commanding position in the Ohio 11th congressional district race due to the seat’s strong Democratic lean, with a partisan voting index around D+28 to D+60, and her status as incumbent. Brown secured the Democratic nomination with 85.5% in the May 2026 primary against two challengers, while Mike Kirchner won the Republican primary. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s consistent Democratic performance in prior cycles and the absence of competitive polling or significant recent developments. Late shifts could theoretically arise from a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts make such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$38,426End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Shontel Brown holds a commanding position in the Ohio 11th congressional district race due to the seat’s strong Democratic lean, with a partisan voting index around D+28 to D+60, and her status as incumbent. Brown secured the Democratic nomination with 85.5% in the May 2026 primary against two challengers, while Mike Kirchner won the Republican primary. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s consistent Democratic performance in prior cycles and the absence of competitive polling or significant recent developments. Late shifts could theoretically arise from a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts make such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,426End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Shontel Brown holds a commanding position in the Ohio 11th congressional district race due to the seat’s strong Democratic lean, with a partisan voting index around D+28 to D+60, and her status as incumbent. Brown secured the Democratic nomination with 85.5% in the May 2026 primary against two challengers, while Mike Kirchner won the Republican primary. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s consistent Democratic performance in prior cycles and the absence of competitive polling or significant recent developments. Late shifts could theoretically arise from a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts make such outcomes improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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