Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured a strong position in New York’s 3rd Congressional District by winning his June 2026 primary with roughly 80% of the vote and now faces Republican Mike LiPetri in a November rematch of their 2024 contest. Suozzi prevailed in that earlier race by about 3.6 points in a district Trump carried narrowly at the presidential level. His advantages include substantial fundraising leads, a record of bipartisan positioning on issues such as immigration, and consistent support across Nassau, Suffolk, and Queens portions of the district. LiPetri, backed by national Republican groups and some labor endorsements, has highlighted generational change and local concerns but trails in cash and name recognition. Trader consensus at 92% for Suozzi reflects these structural edges, though shifts in national conditions, turnout among suburban voters, or late developments could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$26,472 Vol.
$26,472 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Tom Suozzi (D)
92%
Mike LiPetri (R)
8%
$26,472 Vol.
$26,472 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Tom Suozzi (D)
$12,616 Vol.
92%
Mike LiPetri (R)
$13,855 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured a strong position in New York’s 3rd Congressional District by winning his June 2026 primary with roughly 80% of the vote and now faces Republican Mike LiPetri in a November rematch of their 2024 contest. Suozzi prevailed in that earlier race by about 3.6 points in a district Trump carried narrowly at the presidential level. His advantages include substantial fundraising leads, a record of bipartisan positioning on issues such as immigration, and consistent support across Nassau, Suffolk, and Queens portions of the district. LiPetri, backed by national Republican groups and some labor endorsements, has highlighted generational change and local concerns but trails in cash and name recognition. Trader consensus at 92% for Suozzi reflects these structural edges, though shifts in national conditions, turnout among suburban voters, or late developments could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Volume
$26,472End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured a strong position in New York’s 3rd Congressional District by winning his June 2026 primary with roughly 80% of the vote and now faces Republican Mike LiPetri in a November rematch of their 2024 contest. Suozzi prevailed in that earlier race by about 3.6 points in a district Trump carried narrowly at the presidential level. His advantages include substantial fundraising leads, a record of bipartisan positioning on issues such as immigration, and consistent support across Nassau, Suffolk, and Queens portions of the district. LiPetri, backed by national Republican groups and some labor endorsements, has highlighted generational change and local concerns but trails in cash and name recognition. Trader consensus at 92% for Suozzi reflects these structural edges, though shifts in national conditions, turnout among suburban voters, or late developments could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,472End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured a strong position in New York’s 3rd Congressional District by winning his June 2026 primary with roughly 80% of the vote and now faces Republican Mike LiPetri in a November rematch of their 2024 contest. Suozzi prevailed in that earlier race by about 3.6 points in a district Trump carried narrowly at the presidential level. His advantages include substantial fundraising leads, a record of bipartisan positioning on issues such as immigration, and consistent support across Nassau, Suffolk, and Queens portions of the district. LiPetri, backed by national Republican groups and some labor endorsements, has highlighted generational change and local concerns but trails in cash and name recognition. Trader consensus at 92% for Suozzi reflects these structural edges, though shifts in national conditions, turnout among suburban voters, or late developments could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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