NVIDIA shares closed September 11 at $218.29 after a roughly 5% weekly decline from levels near $230, placing the $210–$220 bands as the leading Polymarket outcomes at 30% and 28% implied probability. Robust second-quarter fiscal 2027 results released August 26—$96.2 billion revenue, up 106% year-over-year, and $108 billion third-quarter guidance—continue to underpin trader sentiment, reinforced by management’s early fiscal 2028 outlook for approximately 70% revenue growth driven by sustained AI infrastructure demand. Near-term pressure stems from elevated memory costs trimming gross margins toward 74% and exclusion of China data-center revenue from forecasts, alongside broader tech-sector rotation. With no major catalysts scheduled for the week of September 14 and the stock trading near 24 times forward earnings, market-implied odds reflect balanced uncertainty over short-term price action within the prevailing $195–$235 range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$210-$215 24%
$215-$220 24%
$205-$210 16%
$220-$225 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
<$195
9%
$195-$200
11%
$200-$205
9%
$205-$210
16%
$210-$215
24%
$215-$220
24%
$220-$225
13%
$225-$230
7%
$230-$235
11%
$235-$240
11%
>$240
11%
$210-$215 24%
$215-$220 24%
$205-$210 16%
$220-$225 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
<$195
$0 Vol.
9%
$195-$200
$0 Vol.
11%
$200-$205
$0 Vol.
9%
$205-$210
$0 Vol.
16%
$210-$215
$0 Vol.
24%
$215-$220
$0 Vol.
24%
$220-$225
$0 Vol.
13%
$225-$230
$0 Vol.
7%
$230-$235
$0 Vol.
11%
$235-$240
$0 Vol.
11%
>$240
$0 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.NVIDIA shares closed September 11 at $218.29 after a roughly 5% weekly decline from levels near $230, placing the $210–$220 bands as the leading Polymarket outcomes at 30% and 28% implied probability. Robust second-quarter fiscal 2027 results released August 26—$96.2 billion revenue, up 106% year-over-year, and $108 billion third-quarter guidance—continue to underpin trader sentiment, reinforced by management’s early fiscal 2028 outlook for approximately 70% revenue growth driven by sustained AI infrastructure demand. Near-term pressure stems from elevated memory costs trimming gross margins toward 74% and exclusion of China data-center revenue from forecasts, alongside broader tech-sector rotation. With no major catalysts scheduled for the week of September 14 and the stock trading near 24 times forward earnings, market-implied odds reflect balanced uncertainty over short-term price action within the prevailing $195–$235 range.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.NVIDIA shares closed September 11 at $218.29 after a roughly 5% weekly decline from levels near $230, placing the $210–$220 bands as the leading Polymarket outcomes at 30% and 28% implied probability. Robust second-quarter fiscal 2027 results released August 26—$96.2 billion revenue, up 106% year-over-year, and $108 billion third-quarter guidance—continue to underpin trader sentiment, reinforced by management’s early fiscal 2028 outlook for approximately 70% revenue growth driven by sustained AI infrastructure demand. Near-term pressure stems from elevated memory costs trimming gross margins toward 74% and exclusion of China data-center revenue from forecasts, alongside broader tech-sector rotation. With no major catalysts scheduled for the week of September 14 and the stock trading near 24 times forward earnings, market-implied odds reflect balanced uncertainty over short-term price action within the prevailing $195–$235 range.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...NVIDIA shares closed September 11 at $218.29 after a roughly 5% weekly decline from levels near $230, placing the $210–$220 bands as the leading Polymarket outcomes at 30% and 28% implied probability. Robust second-quarter fiscal 2027 results released August 26—$96.2 billion revenue, up 106% year-over-year, and $108 billion third-quarter guidance—continue to underpin trader sentiment, reinforced by management’s early fiscal 2028 outlook for approximately 70% revenue growth driven by sustained AI infrastructure demand. Near-term pressure stems from elevated memory costs trimming gross margins toward 74% and exclusion of China data-center revenue from forecasts, alongside broader tech-sector rotation. With no major catalysts scheduled for the week of September 14 and the stock trading near 24 times forward earnings, market-implied odds reflect balanced uncertainty over short-term price action within the prevailing $195–$235 range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions