Microsoft shares closed at $497.12 on September 15, 2026, down 1.64% amid intraday swings between $495.54 and $505.90, reflecting broader tech sector pressure after a volatile stretch near the middle of the 52-week range of $349.20–$553.72. The stock’s positioning is shaped by robust fiscal 2026 results released July 29, when revenue reached $331.8 billion (up 18%) and operating income grew 21%, propelled by Azure revenue surpassing $100 billion annually and Microsoft 365 Copilot adoption exceeding 30 million paid seats. Market-implied sentiment incorporates the company’s elevated valuation metrics, including a normalized P/E near 29.6 and market capitalization of approximately $3.69 trillion, alongside analyst consensus price targets above $570. Traders are watching for any follow-through momentum or reversal on September 16 ahead of the next earnings release scheduled for October 28.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Sep 16, 2026
$480
90%
$490
71%
$500
39%
$510
7%
$520
9%
$11 Vol.
$480
$0 Vol.
90%
$490
$11 Vol.
71%
$500
$0 Vol.
39%
$510
$0 Vol.
7%
$520
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on September 16, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.Microsoft shares closed at $497.12 on September 15, 2026, down 1.64% amid intraday swings between $495.54 and $505.90, reflecting broader tech sector pressure after a volatile stretch near the middle of the 52-week range of $349.20–$553.72. The stock’s positioning is shaped by robust fiscal 2026 results released July 29, when revenue reached $331.8 billion (up 18%) and operating income grew 21%, propelled by Azure revenue surpassing $100 billion annually and Microsoft 365 Copilot adoption exceeding 30 million paid seats. Market-implied sentiment incorporates the company’s elevated valuation metrics, including a normalized P/E near 29.6 and market capitalization of approximately $3.69 trillion, alongside analyst consensus price targets above $570. Traders are watching for any follow-through momentum or reversal on September 16 ahead of the next earnings release scheduled for October 28.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on September 16, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Volume
$11End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 8:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on September 16, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.Microsoft shares closed at $497.12 on September 15, 2026, down 1.64% amid intraday swings between $495.54 and $505.90, reflecting broader tech sector pressure after a volatile stretch near the middle of the 52-week range of $349.20–$553.72. The stock’s positioning is shaped by robust fiscal 2026 results released July 29, when revenue reached $331.8 billion (up 18%) and operating income grew 21%, propelled by Azure revenue surpassing $100 billion annually and Microsoft 365 Copilot adoption exceeding 30 million paid seats. Market-implied sentiment incorporates the company’s elevated valuation metrics, including a normalized P/E near 29.6 and market capitalization of approximately $3.69 trillion, alongside analyst consensus price targets above $570. Traders are watching for any follow-through momentum or reversal on September 16 ahead of the next earnings release scheduled for October 28.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on September 16, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Volume
$11End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 8:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Microsoft shares closed at $497.12 on September 15, 2026, down 1.64% amid intraday swings between $495.54 and $505.90, reflecting broader tech sector pressure after a volatile stretch near the middle of the 52-week range of $349.20–$553.72. The stock’s positioning is shaped by robust fiscal 2026 results released July 29, when revenue reached $331.8 billion (up 18%) and operating income grew 21%, propelled by Azure revenue surpassing $100 billion annually and Microsoft 365 Copilot adoption exceeding 30 million paid seats. Market-implied sentiment incorporates the company’s elevated valuation metrics, including a normalized P/E near 29.6 and market capitalization of approximately $3.69 trillion, alongside analyst consensus price targets above $570. Traders are watching for any follow-through momentum or reversal on September 16 ahead of the next earnings release scheduled for October 28.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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