Zack Wheeler leads the NL Comeback Player of the Year market at 78.5% implied probability after recovering from thoracic outlet syndrome surgery that sidelined him late in 2025. The Phillies right-hander has delivered a 13-5 record and 2.99 ERA over 150.1 innings, including a dominant stretch with a 1.04 ERA across his past four starts as of mid-September. This performance underscores the severity of his prior injury and return to form, outpacing other candidates. Sandy Alcantara sits at 7.0% following his own elbow recovery, highlighted by a league-leading 206 innings pitched and a recent relief save, though his 3.84 ERA trails Wheeler's output. Lower-priced options such as Tanner Scott and Michael Harris II reflect more modest or less injury-driven resurgences amid the Phillies' playoff push.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedZack Wheeler 79%
Sandy Alcantara 7%
Tanner Scott 4.8%
Michael Harris II 4.3%
$150,778 Vol.
$150,778 Vol.
Zack Wheeler
79%
Sandy Alcantara
7%
Tanner Scott
5%
Michael Harris II
4%
O'Neil Cruz
4%
Brandon Woodruff
3%
Ezequiel Tovar
1%
Shota Imanaga
1%
Porter Hodge
1%
Sean Manaea
1%
Zack Wheeler 79%
Sandy Alcantara 7%
Tanner Scott 4.8%
Michael Harris II 4.3%
$150,778 Vol.
$150,778 Vol.
Zack Wheeler
79%
Sandy Alcantara
7%
Tanner Scott
5%
Michael Harris II
4%
O'Neil Cruz
4%
Brandon Woodruff
3%
Ezequiel Tovar
1%
Shota Imanaga
1%
Porter Hodge
1%
Sean Manaea
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Zack Wheeler leads the NL Comeback Player of the Year market at 78.5% implied probability after recovering from thoracic outlet syndrome surgery that sidelined him late in 2025. The Phillies right-hander has delivered a 13-5 record and 2.99 ERA over 150.1 innings, including a dominant stretch with a 1.04 ERA across his past four starts as of mid-September. This performance underscores the severity of his prior injury and return to form, outpacing other candidates. Sandy Alcantara sits at 7.0% following his own elbow recovery, highlighted by a league-leading 206 innings pitched and a recent relief save, though his 3.84 ERA trails Wheeler's output. Lower-priced options such as Tanner Scott and Michael Harris II reflect more modest or less injury-driven resurgences amid the Phillies' playoff push.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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