Amy Klobuchar holds a commanding position in the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial race following Tim Walz’s January withdrawal amid a state-funded social services fraud scandal. She secured the Democratic nomination with nearly 90 percent of the primary vote and maintains a roughly nine-point polling lead over Republican nominee Lisa Demuth. Traders price her at 95.5 percent in part due to her established statewide profile from multiple Senate victories, strong fundraising, and the Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party’s long hold on the office. Demuth, the House speaker who won her primary despite competing endorsements for rivals, offers a governing record but faces the challenge of overcoming Minnesota Republicans’ statewide drought since 2006. Late developments such as unresolved fraud fallout, shifts in independent turnout, or unforeseen candidate events could still narrow the gap before the November 3 contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMinnesota Governor Election Winner
$70,511 Vol.
$70,511 Vol.

Amy Klobuchar (D)
96%

Lisa Demuth (R)
5%
$70,511 Vol.
$70,511 Vol.

Amy Klobuchar (D)
96%

Lisa Demuth (R)
5%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Amy Klobuchar holds a commanding position in the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial race following Tim Walz’s January withdrawal amid a state-funded social services fraud scandal. She secured the Democratic nomination with nearly 90 percent of the primary vote and maintains a roughly nine-point polling lead over Republican nominee Lisa Demuth. Traders price her at 95.5 percent in part due to her established statewide profile from multiple Senate victories, strong fundraising, and the Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party’s long hold on the office. Demuth, the House speaker who won her primary despite competing endorsements for rivals, offers a governing record but faces the challenge of overcoming Minnesota Republicans’ statewide drought since 2006. Late developments such as unresolved fraud fallout, shifts in independent turnout, or unforeseen candidate events could still narrow the gap before the November 3 contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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