Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Shenzhen's September 24 high will likely reach 31–32°C under partly cloudy to clearing skies with light easterly winds and low precipitation chances. This aligns with late-September climatology for the subtropical region, where average highs hover near 31°C amid stable high pressure and minimal frontal activity. Trader emphasis on 32°C reflects model consensus on modest daytime warming from current 26–28°C morning readings, while uncertainty around 33°C stems from potential variations in cloud cover or localized heating. Updated runs overnight will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 24?
32°C 43%
33°C 28%
31°C 27%
30°C 5%
$13,709 Vol.
$13,709 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
5%
31°C
27%
32°C
43%
33°C
28%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 43%
33°C 28%
31°C 27%
30°C 5%
$13,709 Vol.
$13,709 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
5%
31°C
27%
32°C
43%
33°C
28%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47de9d...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Shenzhen's September 24 high will likely reach 31–32°C under partly cloudy to clearing skies with light easterly winds and low precipitation chances. This aligns with late-September climatology for the subtropical region, where average highs hover near 31°C amid stable high pressure and minimal frontal activity. Trader emphasis on 32°C reflects model consensus on modest daytime warming from current 26–28°C morning readings, while uncertainty around 33°C stems from potential variations in cloud cover or localized heating. Updated runs overnight will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions