Forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and international ensembles have converged on a daily maximum of 24°C in Munich on September 26, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light easterly winds and negligible precipitation. This aligns with real-time station observations peaking near that threshold during afternoon hours, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18°C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong consensus from verified meteorological data, with traders assigning near-certainty to the 24°C outcome. A modest revision in final official readings or localized measurement differences at the primary reporting station could theoretically shift resolution, though current conditions make such adjustments improbable.