Persistent cloud cover, showers, and southeasterly winds have moderated daytime heating across Moscow on September 22, 2026, anchoring the official maximum temperature at 16°C according to NOAA observations from Vnukovo Airport. This outcome aligns with model consensus showing high humidity and precipitation suppressing radiative warming, keeping readings close to the seasonal average high of roughly 15°C. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for the 16°C bin reflects real-time data confirming no breach of adjacent thresholds. Clearer breaks in cloud cover or stronger southerly advection could have pushed values higher, but current synoptic conditions and hourly trends have precluded those shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on September 22?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 22?
16°C 100%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$38,179 Vol.
$38,179 Vol.
Sep 22, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
16°C 100%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$38,179 Vol.
$38,179 Vol.
Sep 22, 2026
11°C or below
$75 Vol.
No
12°C
$111 Vol.
No
13°C
$390 Vol.
No
14°C
$625 Vol.
No
15°C
$9,769 Vol.
No
16°C
$4,876 Vol.
Yes
17°C
$4,567 Vol.
No
18°C
$12,304 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,499 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,401 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$562 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, showers, and southeasterly winds have moderated daytime heating across Moscow on September 22, 2026, anchoring the official maximum temperature at 16°C according to NOAA observations from Vnukovo Airport. This outcome aligns with model consensus showing high humidity and precipitation suppressing radiative warming, keeping readings close to the seasonal average high of roughly 15°C. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for the 16°C bin reflects real-time data confirming no breach of adjacent thresholds. Clearer breaks in cloud cover or stronger southerly advection could have pushed values higher, but current synoptic conditions and hourly trends have precluded those shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$38,179End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, showers, and southeasterly winds have moderated daytime heating across Moscow on September 22, 2026, anchoring the official maximum temperature at 16°C according to NOAA observations from Vnukovo Airport. This outcome aligns with model consensus showing high humidity and precipitation suppressing radiative warming, keeping readings close to the seasonal average high of roughly 15°C. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for the 16°C bin reflects real-time data confirming no breach of adjacent thresholds. Clearer breaks in cloud cover or stronger southerly advection could have pushed values higher, but current synoptic conditions and hourly trends have precluded those shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38,179End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Persistent cloud cover, showers, and southeasterly winds have moderated daytime heating across Moscow on September 22, 2026, anchoring the official maximum temperature at 16°C according to NOAA observations from Vnukovo Airport. This outcome aligns with model consensus showing high humidity and precipitation suppressing radiative warming, keeping readings close to the seasonal average high of roughly 15°C. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for the 16°C bin reflects real-time data confirming no breach of adjacent thresholds. Clearer breaks in cloud cover or stronger southerly advection could have pushed values higher, but current synoptic conditions and hourly trends have precluded those shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions