Current observational data from Busan weather stations, including Korea Meteorological Administration reports, show temperatures peaking near 25°C amid northeasterly winds, broken clouds, and light rain chances on September 29. This aligns with late-September climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 24–26°C without strong warming influences such as clear skies or southerly advection. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 25°C reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of these stable conditions and model agreement, with minimal upside risk. A realistic challenge would require revised official measurements exceeding 26°C or unexpected intensification of daytime heating before final daily reporting.