**Latest forecast guidance from global and regional models points to a sunny, dry day in Beijing on September 11 with a maximum temperature most likely near 30–31 °C.** Light southwesterly winds and clear skies under a stable high-pressure pattern are expected to limit cloud cover and allow strong daytime heating, pushing readings above the late-September climatological average of roughly 27 °C. Ensemble consensus shows little spread, with only modest uncertainty around whether the peak reaches exactly 31 °C or edges into the low 32 °C range depending on boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation. Official station observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on September 11?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 11?
31°C 53%
32°C 29%
33°C 10%
30°C 6%
NEW
$18,436 Vol.
NEW
$18,436 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
53%
32°C
29%
33°C
10%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 53%
32°C 29%
33°C 10%
30°C 6%
NEW
$18,436 Vol.
NEW
$18,436 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
25°C or below
$394 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$763 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,115 Vol.
2%
28°C
$986 Vol.
2%
29°C
$1,668 Vol.
2%
30°C
$1,218 Vol.
6%
31°C
$4,431 Vol.
53%
32°C
$3,432 Vol.
29%
33°C
$3,014 Vol.
10%
34°C
$685 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$782 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecast guidance from global and regional models points to a sunny, dry day in Beijing on September 11 with a maximum temperature most likely near 30–31 °C.**
Light southwesterly winds and clear skies under a stable high-pressure pattern are expected to limit cloud cover and allow strong daytime heating, pushing readings above the late-September climatological average of roughly 27 °C. Ensemble consensus shows little spread, with only modest uncertainty around whether the peak reaches exactly 31 °C or edges into the low 32 °C range depending on boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation. Official station observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$18,436End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecast guidance from global and regional models points to a sunny, dry day in Beijing on September 11 with a maximum temperature most likely near 30–31 °C.**
Light southwesterly winds and clear skies under a stable high-pressure pattern are expected to limit cloud cover and allow strong daytime heating, pushing readings above the late-September climatological average of roughly 27 °C. Ensemble consensus shows little spread, with only modest uncertainty around whether the peak reaches exactly 31 °C or edges into the low 32 °C range depending on boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation. Official station observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,436End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest forecast guidance from global and regional models points to a sunny, dry day in Beijing on September 11 with a maximum temperature most likely near 30–31 °C.** Light southwesterly winds and clear skies under a stable high-pressure pattern are expected to limit cloud cover and allow strong daytime heating, pushing readings above the late-September climatological average of roughly 27 °C. Ensemble consensus shows little spread, with only modest uncertainty around whether the peak reaches exactly 31 °C or edges into the low 32 °C range depending on boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation. Official station observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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