Recent observations from Ankara stations, including Esenboga Airport, confirm a daily maximum of 16°C under northerly flow and increasing cloud cover that suppressed daytime heating. This aligns with Turkish Meteorological Service guidance showing temperatures well below the September climatological average of 24–28°C, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern and cooler air advection. Model consensus and hourly data through late afternoon consistently cap the peak near this level, supporting the market-implied certainty. Resolution could shift only if an official station records a marginally higher value due to microscale variations or if the precise measurement window differs from standard 24-hour maxima.