The 2026-27 fantasy football tight end points race remains highly competitive, with trader consensus assigning the highest implied probabilities to Trey McBride and Tucker Kraft in the mid-20s percent range amid a broad field of contenders. Multiple factors contribute to the tight distribution, including uncertain target shares in evolving offenses, variable quarterback stability across teams, and the inherent volatility of tight end production driven by red zone usage and route involvement. Recent training camp reports and preseason usage patterns have not produced clear separation among established starters and emerging options, while factors such as offensive line health, scheme fit, and potential injuries continue to influence expectations. This bunched pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds acknowledging that no single tight end holds a dominant edge entering the season.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTrey McBride 28%
Dallas Goedert 25.1%
Terrance Ferguson 25.1%
Greg Dulcich 25.1%
Trey McBride
28%
Dallas Goedert
25%
Terrance Ferguson
25%
Greg Dulcich
25%
Mike Gesicki
25%
Darnell Washington
25%
Elijah Arroyo
25%
Noah Fant
25%
Evan Engram
24%
Ja'Tavion Sanders
24%
Pat Freiermuth
23%
Eli Stowers
17%
George Kittle
17%
Travis Kelce
17%
Colby Parkinson
17%
Isaiah Likely
17%
Elijah Higgins
17%
Noah Gray
17%
Harold Fannin Jr.
16%
Dawson Knox
16%
Max Klare
16%
Tyler Warren
14%
Tucker Kraft
14%
Austin Hooper
13%
Michael Mayer
13%
Sam LaPorta
13%
Cole Kmet
12%
Colston Loveland
9%
Brock Bowers
9%
Jake Ferguson
7%
Dalton Kincaid
4%
Hunter Henry
3%
AJ Barner
3%
David Njoku
3%
Jake Tonges
3%
Kyle Pitts Sr.
3%
Kenyon Sadiq
1%
Brenton Strange
1%
Gunnar Helm
1%
Oronde Gadsden
1%
Tyler Higbee
1%
Mark Andrews
<1%
T.J. Hockenson
<1%
Juwan Johnson
<1%
Mason Taylor
<1%
Theo Johnson
<1%
Tommy Tremble
<1%
Dalton Schultz
25%
Chig Okonkwo
12%
Cade Otton
17%
Trey McBride 28%
Dallas Goedert 25.1%
Terrance Ferguson 25.1%
Greg Dulcich 25.1%
Trey McBride
28%
Dallas Goedert
25%
Terrance Ferguson
25%
Greg Dulcich
25%
Mike Gesicki
25%
Darnell Washington
25%
Elijah Arroyo
25%
Noah Fant
25%
Evan Engram
24%
Ja'Tavion Sanders
24%
Pat Freiermuth
23%
Eli Stowers
17%
George Kittle
17%
Travis Kelce
17%
Colby Parkinson
17%
Isaiah Likely
17%
Elijah Higgins
17%
Noah Gray
17%
Harold Fannin Jr.
16%
Dawson Knox
16%
Max Klare
16%
Tyler Warren
14%
Tucker Kraft
14%
Austin Hooper
13%
Michael Mayer
13%
Sam LaPorta
13%
Cole Kmet
12%
Colston Loveland
9%
Brock Bowers
9%
Jake Ferguson
7%
Dalton Kincaid
4%
Hunter Henry
3%
AJ Barner
3%
David Njoku
3%
Jake Tonges
3%
Kyle Pitts Sr.
3%
Kenyon Sadiq
1%
Brenton Strange
1%
Gunnar Helm
1%
Oronde Gadsden
1%
Tyler Higbee
1%
Mark Andrews
<1%
T.J. Hockenson
<1%
Juwan Johnson
<1%
Mason Taylor
<1%
Theo Johnson
<1%
Tommy Tremble
<1%
Dalton Schultz
25%
Chig Okonkwo
12%
Cade Otton
17%
If two or more players are tied for the most total PPR fantasy points, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that has a higher fantasy points per game average for the 2026 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a leader cannot be determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official season-total statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (https://www.espn.com/fantasy/).
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:11 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.espn.com/fantasy/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If two or more players are tied for the most total PPR fantasy points, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that has a higher fantasy points per game average for the 2026 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a leader cannot be determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official season-total statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (https://www.espn.com/fantasy/).
Resolution Source
https://www.espn.com/fantasy/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026-27 fantasy football tight end points race remains highly competitive, with trader consensus assigning the highest implied probabilities to Trey McBride and Tucker Kraft in the mid-20s percent range amid a broad field of contenders. Multiple factors contribute to the tight distribution, including uncertain target shares in evolving offenses, variable quarterback stability across teams, and the inherent volatility of tight end production driven by red zone usage and route involvement. Recent training camp reports and preseason usage patterns have not produced clear separation among established starters and emerging options, while factors such as offensive line health, scheme fit, and potential injuries continue to influence expectations. This bunched pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds acknowledging that no single tight end holds a dominant edge entering the season.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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