Incumbent Democrat Jason Crow holds a commanding position in Colorado’s 6th District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and his strong incumbency record. The suburban district, which includes Aurora and portions of the Denver metro area, carries a partisan voter index favoring Democrats by double digits and has delivered Crow victories by roughly 20 points in prior cycles. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, and Crow’s primary was uncontested while his Republican opponent, Jason Clark, replaced an earlier nominee with negligible fundraising. Crow’s substantial campaign resources and recent endorsements of other Democratic candidates further reinforce trader consensus around his reelection. A late national Republican surge, unexpected personal or legal development, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current structural factors make a reversal improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCO-06 House Election Winner
CO-06 House Election Winner
$27,895 Vol.
$27,895 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jason Crow (D)
95%
Jason Clark (R)
6%
$27,895 Vol.
$27,895 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jason Crow (D)
$14,796 Vol.
95%
Jason Clark (R)
$13,099 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jason Crow holds a commanding position in Colorado’s 6th District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and his strong incumbency record. The suburban district, which includes Aurora and portions of the Denver metro area, carries a partisan voter index favoring Democrats by double digits and has delivered Crow victories by roughly 20 points in prior cycles. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, and Crow’s primary was uncontested while his Republican opponent, Jason Clark, replaced an earlier nominee with negligible fundraising. Crow’s substantial campaign resources and recent endorsements of other Democratic candidates further reinforce trader consensus around his reelection. A late national Republican surge, unexpected personal or legal development, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current structural factors make a reversal improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$27,895End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jason Crow holds a commanding position in Colorado’s 6th District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and his strong incumbency record. The suburban district, which includes Aurora and portions of the Denver metro area, carries a partisan voter index favoring Democrats by double digits and has delivered Crow victories by roughly 20 points in prior cycles. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, and Crow’s primary was uncontested while his Republican opponent, Jason Clark, replaced an earlier nominee with negligible fundraising. Crow’s substantial campaign resources and recent endorsements of other Democratic candidates further reinforce trader consensus around his reelection. A late national Republican surge, unexpected personal or legal development, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current structural factors make a reversal improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,895End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jason Crow holds a commanding position in Colorado’s 6th District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and his strong incumbency record. The suburban district, which includes Aurora and portions of the Denver metro area, carries a partisan voter index favoring Democrats by double digits and has delivered Crow victories by roughly 20 points in prior cycles. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, and Crow’s primary was uncontested while his Republican opponent, Jason Clark, replaced an earlier nominee with negligible fundraising. Crow’s substantial campaign resources and recent endorsements of other Democratic candidates further reinforce trader consensus around his reelection. A late national Republican surge, unexpected personal or legal development, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current structural factors make a reversal improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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