**No at 77% reflects the recent timeline and procedural hurdles following Nigel Farage’s August 2026 by-election victory in Clacton.** Farage resigned in July amid a parliamentary standards investigation into a £5 million donation, triggering the August poll he then won with 63.3% against a field of novelty candidates after major parties boycotted. The probe resumed immediately after his re-election. A finding of breach leading to a Commons suspension of 10+ sitting days would activate a recall petition requiring signatures from 10% of the electorate to force another contest. As of mid-September 2026, no such suspension or petition threshold has been reached, and the limited remaining calendar time makes completion of the full recall process before year-end improbable absent rapid new developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAnother Clacton by-election called in 2026?
Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?
20% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
20% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**No at 77% reflects the recent timeline and procedural hurdles following Nigel Farage’s August 2026 by-election victory in Clacton.** Farage resigned in July amid a parliamentary standards investigation into a £5 million donation, triggering the August poll he then won with 63.3% against a field of novelty candidates after major parties boycotted. The probe resumed immediately after his re-election. A finding of breach leading to a Commons suspension of 10+ sitting days would activate a recall petition requiring signatures from 10% of the electorate to force another contest. As of mid-September 2026, no such suspension or petition threshold has been reached, and the limited remaining calendar time makes completion of the full recall process before year-end improbable absent rapid new developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
Volume
$151End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**No at 77% reflects the recent timeline and procedural hurdles following Nigel Farage’s August 2026 by-election victory in Clacton.** Farage resigned in July amid a parliamentary standards investigation into a £5 million donation, triggering the August poll he then won with 63.3% against a field of novelty candidates after major parties boycotted. The probe resumed immediately after his re-election. A finding of breach leading to a Commons suspension of 10+ sitting days would activate a recall petition requiring signatures from 10% of the electorate to force another contest. As of mid-September 2026, no such suspension or petition threshold has been reached, and the limited remaining calendar time makes completion of the full recall process before year-end improbable absent rapid new developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$151End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**No at 77% reflects the recent timeline and procedural hurdles following Nigel Farage’s August 2026 by-election victory in Clacton.** Farage resigned in July amid a parliamentary standards investigation into a £5 million donation, triggering the August poll he then won with 63.3% against a field of novelty candidates after major parties boycotted. The probe resumed immediately after his re-election. A finding of breach leading to a Commons suspension of 10+ sitting days would activate a recall petition requiring signatures from 10% of the electorate to force another contest. As of mid-September 2026, no such suspension or petition threshold has been reached, and the limited remaining calendar time makes completion of the full recall process before year-end improbable absent rapid new developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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