Amazon raised its 2026 cash capex guidance to $220 billion during its July 30 Q2 earnings release, up from the $200 billion target held since February, citing higher memory costs and sustained AI demand. Year-to-date spending through June reached roughly $173 billion on a trailing-twelve-month basis for property and equipment purchases, with Q2 alone at $54.2 billion, primarily for AWS data centers and generative AI infrastructure. Management highlighted that even this elevated level leaves insufficient capacity to meet 2026 demand and expects the shortfall to persist into 2027, supporting continued heavy outlays. AWS revenue grew 36.7% year-over-year to $42.2 billion in Q2, with operating margins expanding, while trailing free cash flow turned negative at $7.6 billion amid the investment pace. Q3 results, due in late October, represent the next key catalyst for any further guidance revisions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$21,873 Vol.
Apr 29, 2027
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Amazon's Purchases of Property and Equipment (capital expenditures) for the full year of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.Amazon raised its 2026 cash capex guidance to $220 billion during its July 30 Q2 earnings release, up from the $200 billion target held since February, citing higher memory costs and sustained AI demand. Year-to-date spending through June reached roughly $173 billion on a trailing-twelve-month basis for property and equipment purchases, with Q2 alone at $54.2 billion, primarily for AWS data centers and generative AI infrastructure. Management highlighted that even this elevated level leaves insufficient capacity to meet 2026 demand and expects the shortfall to persist into 2027, supporting continued heavy outlays. AWS revenue grew 36.7% year-over-year to $42.2 billion in Q2, with operating margins expanding, while trailing free cash flow turned negative at $7.6 billion amid the investment pace. Q3 results, due in late October, represent the next key catalyst for any further guidance revisions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Amazon's Purchases of Property and Equipment (capital expenditures) for the full year of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
Market Opened: Apr 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Volume
$21,873End Date
Apr 30, 2027Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Amazon's Purchases of Property and Equipment (capital expenditures) for the full year of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.Amazon raised its 2026 cash capex guidance to $220 billion during its July 30 Q2 earnings release, up from the $200 billion target held since February, citing higher memory costs and sustained AI demand. Year-to-date spending through June reached roughly $173 billion on a trailing-twelve-month basis for property and equipment purchases, with Q2 alone at $54.2 billion, primarily for AWS data centers and generative AI infrastructure. Management highlighted that even this elevated level leaves insufficient capacity to meet 2026 demand and expects the shortfall to persist into 2027, supporting continued heavy outlays. AWS revenue grew 36.7% year-over-year to $42.2 billion in Q2, with operating margins expanding, while trailing free cash flow turned negative at $7.6 billion amid the investment pace. Q3 results, due in late October, represent the next key catalyst for any further guidance revisions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Amazon's Purchases of Property and Equipment (capital expenditures) for the full year of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
Volume
$21,873End Date
Apr 30, 2027Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amazon raised its 2026 cash capex guidance to $220 billion during its July 30 Q2 earnings release, up from the $200 billion target held since February, citing higher memory costs and sustained AI demand. Year-to-date spending through June reached roughly $173 billion on a trailing-twelve-month basis for property and equipment purchases, with Q2 alone at $54.2 billion, primarily for AWS data centers and generative AI infrastructure. Management highlighted that even this elevated level leaves insufficient capacity to meet 2026 demand and expects the shortfall to persist into 2027, supporting continued heavy outlays. AWS revenue grew 36.7% year-over-year to $42.2 billion in Q2, with operating margins expanding, while trailing free cash flow turned negative at $7.6 billion amid the investment pace. Q3 results, due in late October, represent the next key catalyst for any further guidance revisions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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