President Trump has pursued executive actions and agency directives aimed at increasing federal oversight of mail-in voting, voter eligibility verification, and state voter rolls, including a March 2026 order involving the U.S. Postal Service and Justice Department requests for data from multiple states. These steps align with his earlier calls to “nationalize” aspects of voting administration. Multiple federal courts, including a Supreme Court ruling in mid-September 2026, have blocked key provisions as exceeding presidential authority under Article I, Section 4 of the Constitution, which reserves primary control to the states. Ongoing litigation, procedural timelines ahead of the November midterms, and the absence of new legislation granting direct federal administrative power have reinforced trader consensus that full nationalization remains unlikely before the market’s December 31, 2026 resolution date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Trump nacionalizará las elecciones?
¿Trump nacionalizará las elecciones?
Sí
8% probabilidad
$20,465 Vol.
$20,465 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
8% probabilidad
$20,465 Vol.
$20,465 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
President Trump has pursued executive actions and agency directives aimed at increasing federal oversight of mail-in voting, voter eligibility verification, and state voter rolls, including a March 2026 order involving the U.S. Postal Service and Justice Department requests for data from multiple states. These steps align with his earlier calls to “nationalize” aspects of voting administration. Multiple federal courts, including a Supreme Court ruling in mid-September 2026, have blocked key provisions as exceeding presidential authority under Article I, Section 4 of the Constitution, which reserves primary control to the states. Ongoing litigation, procedural timelines ahead of the November midterms, and the absence of new legislation granting direct federal administrative power have reinforced trader consensus that full nationalization remains unlikely before the market’s December 31, 2026 resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Feb 4, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
Volumen
$20,465Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Feb 4, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
President Trump has pursued executive actions and agency directives aimed at increasing federal oversight of mail-in voting, voter eligibility verification, and state voter rolls, including a March 2026 order involving the U.S. Postal Service and Justice Department requests for data from multiple states. These steps align with his earlier calls to “nationalize” aspects of voting administration. Multiple federal courts, including a Supreme Court ruling in mid-September 2026, have blocked key provisions as exceeding presidential authority under Article I, Section 4 of the Constitution, which reserves primary control to the states. Ongoing litigation, procedural timelines ahead of the November midterms, and the absence of new legislation granting direct federal administrative power have reinforced trader consensus that full nationalization remains unlikely before the market’s December 31, 2026 resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$20,465Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Feb 4, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump has pursued executive actions and agency directives aimed at increasing federal oversight of mail-in voting, voter eligibility verification, and state voter rolls, including a March 2026 order involving the U.S. Postal Service and Justice Department requests for data from multiple states. These steps align with his earlier calls to “nationalize” aspects of voting administration. Multiple federal courts, including a Supreme Court ruling in mid-September 2026, have blocked key provisions as exceeding presidential authority under Article I, Section 4 of the Constitution, which reserves primary control to the states. Ongoing litigation, procedural timelines ahead of the November midterms, and the absence of new legislation granting direct federal administrative power have reinforced trader consensus that full nationalization remains unlikely before the market’s December 31, 2026 resolution date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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