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icon for ¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?
Geopolítica·Siria

¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?

icon for ¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?
Geopolítica·Siria

¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?

ene 1, 2027

ene 1, 2027

$802,470 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$802,470 Vol.

Polymarket
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Líbano

$115,933 Vol.

10%

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Venezuela

$362,804 Vol.

10%

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Arabia Saudita

$76,649 Vol.

7%

icon for Túnez

Túnez

$12,884 Vol.

6%

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Pakistán

$10,051 Vol.

5%

icon for Siria

Siria

$22,317 Vol.

5%

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Cuba

$14,037 Vol.

4%

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Irán

$17,351 Vol.

4%

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Corea del Norte

$20,818 Vol.

4%

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Indonesia

$23,577 Vol.

3%

icon for Irak

Irak

$14,780 Vol.

3%

icon for Afganistán

Afganistán

$21,335 Vol.

3%

icon for Kuwait

Kuwait

$19,782 Vol.

3%

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Malasia

$13,979 Vol.

3%

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Catar

$39,120 Vol.

3%

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Bangladesh

$17,052 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic momentum centers on expanding the Abraham Accords framework amid U.S. pressure and regional security dynamics. Saudi Arabia remains the pivotal holdout, with Washington conditioning a civilian nuclear deal on normalization, though Riyadh continues to link any move to progress on Palestinian statehood. Syria’s post-Assad government has pursued security talks with Israel since late 2025 that could lead to broader relations. Recent upgrades, such as Morocco elevating liaison offices to full embassies and ambassadors in September 2026, illustrate deepening existing ties rather than new recognitions. Speculation has surfaced around Kuwait possibly joining the Accords within months, while talks with other Muslim-majority states face persistent hurdles tied to the Palestinian issue. Israeli elections in October 2026 and year-end agreement deadlines could influence timelines before December 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$802,470
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Disputado

Propuesta de resultados

Disputa final

Final

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic momentum centers on expanding the Abraham Accords framework amid U.S. pressure and regional security dynamics. Saudi Arabia remains the pivotal holdout, with Washington conditioning a civilian nuclear deal on normalization, though Riyadh continues to link any move to progress on Palestinian statehood. Syria’s post-Assad government has pursued security talks with Israel since late 2025 that could lead to broader relations. Recent upgrades, such as Morocco elevating liaison offices to full embassies and ambassadors in September 2026, illustrate deepening existing ties rather than new recognitions. Speculation has surfaced around Kuwait possibly joining the Accords within months, while talks with other Muslim-majority states face persistent hurdles tied to the Palestinian issue. Israeli elections in October 2026 and year-end agreement deadlines could influence timelines before December 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$802,470
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Disputado

Propuesta de resultados

Disputa final

Final

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 16 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Líbano" con 10%, seguido de "Venezuela" con 10%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 10¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 10% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?" ha generado $802.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?", explora los 16 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?" es "Líbano" con 10%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 10% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Venezuela" con 10%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.