In Washington’s 1st Congressional District, incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene advances from the August top-two primary with roughly 53 percent to Republican Mary Silva’s 26 percent, setting up the November 3 general election in a seat rated solid or safe Democratic by multiple forecasters and carrying a D+15 Partisan Voter Index. Trader pricing reflects a closely contested margin outlook, with the Republican win bucket near one-third and Democratic victory ranges clustered in the mid-to-high 30s. Limited campaign spending by Silva, DelBene’s substantial fundraising edge, and the absence of major late-breaking events have kept probabilities balanced across outcome buckets. National midterm dynamics, suburban turnout patterns in King and Snohomish counties, and any shifts in voter sentiment over the final weeks could widen or narrow the eventual margin before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoDemócrata 45%+ 38%
Demócrata 25-30% 38%
Demócrata 15-20% 38%
Demócrata 5-15% 38%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Demócrata 45%+
38%
Demócrata 40-45%
37%
Demócrata 35-40%
33%
Demócrata 30-35%
34%
Demócrata 25-30%
38%
Demócrata 20-25%
34%
Demócrata 15-20%
38%
Demócrata 5-15%
38%
Demócrata 0-5%
34%
Gana Republicano
33%
Demócrata 45%+ 38%
Demócrata 25-30% 38%
Demócrata 15-20% 38%
Demócrata 5-15% 38%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Demócrata 45%+
$0 Vol.
38%
Demócrata 40-45%
$0 Vol.
37%
Demócrata 35-40%
$0 Vol.
33%
Demócrata 30-35%
$0 Vol.
34%
Demócrata 25-30%
$0 Vol.
38%
Demócrata 20-25%
$0 Vol.
34%
Demócrata 15-20%
$0 Vol.
38%
Demócrata 5-15%
$0 Vol.
38%
Demócrata 0-5%
$0 Vol.
34%
Gana Republicano
$6 Vol.
33%
The 2026 WA-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In Washington’s 1st Congressional District, incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene advances from the August top-two primary with roughly 53 percent to Republican Mary Silva’s 26 percent, setting up the November 3 general election in a seat rated solid or safe Democratic by multiple forecasters and carrying a D+15 Partisan Voter Index. Trader pricing reflects a closely contested margin outlook, with the Republican win bucket near one-third and Democratic victory ranges clustered in the mid-to-high 30s. Limited campaign spending by Silva, DelBene’s substantial fundraising edge, and the absence of major late-breaking events have kept probabilities balanced across outcome buckets. National midterm dynamics, suburban turnout patterns in King and Snohomish counties, and any shifts in voter sentiment over the final weeks could widen or narrow the eventual margin before resolution.
The 2026 WA-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
Volumen
$6Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 WA-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In Washington’s 1st Congressional District, incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene advances from the August top-two primary with roughly 53 percent to Republican Mary Silva’s 26 percent, setting up the November 3 general election in a seat rated solid or safe Democratic by multiple forecasters and carrying a D+15 Partisan Voter Index. Trader pricing reflects a closely contested margin outlook, with the Republican win bucket near one-third and Democratic victory ranges clustered in the mid-to-high 30s. Limited campaign spending by Silva, DelBene’s substantial fundraising edge, and the absence of major late-breaking events have kept probabilities balanced across outcome buckets. National midterm dynamics, suburban turnout patterns in King and Snohomish counties, and any shifts in voter sentiment over the final weeks could widen or narrow the eventual margin before resolution.
The 2026 WA-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Washington’s 1st Congressional District, incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene advances from the August top-two primary with roughly 53 percent to Republican Mary Silva’s 26 percent, setting up the November 3 general election in a seat rated solid or safe Democratic by multiple forecasters and carrying a D+15 Partisan Voter Index. Trader pricing reflects a closely contested margin outlook, with the Republican win bucket near one-third and Democratic victory ranges clustered in the mid-to-high 30s. Limited campaign spending by Silva, DelBene’s substantial fundraising edge, and the absence of major late-breaking events have kept probabilities balanced across outcome buckets. National midterm dynamics, suburban turnout patterns in King and Snohomish counties, and any shifts in voter sentiment over the final weeks could widen or narrow the eventual margin before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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