Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race, reflecting the state's strong Republican tilt, including Donald Trump's 29.7-point margin in 2024 and the party's unbroken streak of statewide victories since 2006. Hagerty, unopposed in the August primary, benefits from substantial fundraising—over $5 million cash on hand—and his 2020 general election win by 27 points against the same Democratic nominee, Marquita Bradshaw. Bradshaw secured her party's nomination with 54.8% in the August primary but faces limited resources and no recent polling showing competitiveness. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on Hagerty's high probability. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national swing could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 election, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Tennessee
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Tennessee
$29,907 Vol.
$29,907 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Bill Hagerty (R)
96%
Marquita Bradshaw (D)
4%
$29,907 Vol.
$29,907 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Bill Hagerty (R)
$19,518 Vol.
96%
Marquita Bradshaw (D)
$10,390 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race, reflecting the state's strong Republican tilt, including Donald Trump's 29.7-point margin in 2024 and the party's unbroken streak of statewide victories since 2006. Hagerty, unopposed in the August primary, benefits from substantial fundraising—over $5 million cash on hand—and his 2020 general election win by 27 points against the same Democratic nominee, Marquita Bradshaw. Bradshaw secured her party's nomination with 54.8% in the August primary but faces limited resources and no recent polling showing competitiveness. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on Hagerty's high probability. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national swing could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 election, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volumen
$29,907Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race, reflecting the state's strong Republican tilt, including Donald Trump's 29.7-point margin in 2024 and the party's unbroken streak of statewide victories since 2006. Hagerty, unopposed in the August primary, benefits from substantial fundraising—over $5 million cash on hand—and his 2020 general election win by 27 points against the same Democratic nominee, Marquita Bradshaw. Bradshaw secured her party's nomination with 54.8% in the August primary but faces limited resources and no recent polling showing competitiveness. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on Hagerty's high probability. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national swing could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 election, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$29,907Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race, reflecting the state's strong Republican tilt, including Donald Trump's 29.7-point margin in 2024 and the party's unbroken streak of statewide victories since 2006. Hagerty, unopposed in the August primary, benefits from substantial fundraising—over $5 million cash on hand—and his 2020 general election win by 27 points against the same Democratic nominee, Marquita Bradshaw. Bradshaw secured her party's nomination with 54.8% in the August primary but faces limited resources and no recent polling showing competitiveness. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on Hagerty's high probability. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national swing could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 election, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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