**Tech layoffs in 2026 are running well ahead of 2025 totals across major trackers, driving the 91% market-implied odds for “Up.”** Layoffhedge, TrueUp, and Skillsyncer report 172,000–209,000 tech jobs eliminated year-to-date through roughly 50–591 events, already matching or exceeding many 2025 full-year figures (e.g., Crunchbase’s ~127k U.S. tally). Oracle’s 30,000-person restructuring, Meta’s 16,000 cuts, Amazon’s 16,000 corporate reductions, and similar moves at Microsoft, Dell, and Intel dominate the tally, with AI automation, infrastructure spending, and workforce reallocation to large language models cited repeatedly as the rationale. Recent September announcements, including Uber’s 3,300 roles and ongoing PayPal and Apple adjustments, show the pace has not yet eased. While a sharp H2 slowdown, definitional differences between pure layoffs and attrition, or stronger-than-expected hiring could still narrow the gap, the sustained volume and explicit AI-driven restructuring through early Q3 support the strong trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAumentarán
88% probabilidad
$25,972 Vol.
$25,972 Vol.
27 feb 2027
Aumentarán
88% probabilidad
$25,972 Vol.
$25,972 Vol.
27 feb 2027
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Tech layoffs in 2026 are running well ahead of 2025 totals across major trackers, driving the 91% market-implied odds for “Up.”** Layoffhedge, TrueUp, and Skillsyncer report 172,000–209,000 tech jobs eliminated year-to-date through roughly 50–591 events, already matching or exceeding many 2025 full-year figures (e.g., Crunchbase’s ~127k U.S. tally). Oracle’s 30,000-person restructuring, Meta’s 16,000 cuts, Amazon’s 16,000 corporate reductions, and similar moves at Microsoft, Dell, and Intel dominate the tally, with AI automation, infrastructure spending, and workforce reallocation to large language models cited repeatedly as the rationale. Recent September announcements, including Uber’s 3,300 roles and ongoing PayPal and Apple adjustments, show the pace has not yet eased. While a sharp H2 slowdown, definitional differences between pure layoffs and attrition, or stronger-than-expected hiring could still narrow the gap, the sustained volume and explicit AI-driven restructuring through early Q3 support the strong trader consensus.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Volumen
$25,972Fecha de finalización
28 feb 2027Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Tech layoffs in 2026 are running well ahead of 2025 totals across major trackers, driving the 91% market-implied odds for “Up.”** Layoffhedge, TrueUp, and Skillsyncer report 172,000–209,000 tech jobs eliminated year-to-date through roughly 50–591 events, already matching or exceeding many 2025 full-year figures (e.g., Crunchbase’s ~127k U.S. tally). Oracle’s 30,000-person restructuring, Meta’s 16,000 cuts, Amazon’s 16,000 corporate reductions, and similar moves at Microsoft, Dell, and Intel dominate the tally, with AI automation, infrastructure spending, and workforce reallocation to large language models cited repeatedly as the rationale. Recent September announcements, including Uber’s 3,300 roles and ongoing PayPal and Apple adjustments, show the pace has not yet eased. While a sharp H2 slowdown, definitional differences between pure layoffs and attrition, or stronger-than-expected hiring could still narrow the gap, the sustained volume and explicit AI-driven restructuring through early Q3 support the strong trader consensus.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$25,972Fecha de finalización
28 feb 2027Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Tech layoffs in 2026 are running well ahead of 2025 totals across major trackers, driving the 91% market-implied odds for “Up.”** Layoffhedge, TrueUp, and Skillsyncer report 172,000–209,000 tech jobs eliminated year-to-date through roughly 50–591 events, already matching or exceeding many 2025 full-year figures (e.g., Crunchbase’s ~127k U.S. tally). Oracle’s 30,000-person restructuring, Meta’s 16,000 cuts, Amazon’s 16,000 corporate reductions, and similar moves at Microsoft, Dell, and Intel dominate the tally, with AI automation, infrastructure spending, and workforce reallocation to large language models cited repeatedly as the rationale. Recent September announcements, including Uber’s 3,300 roles and ongoing PayPal and Apple adjustments, show the pace has not yet eased. While a sharp H2 slowdown, definitional differences between pure layoffs and attrition, or stronger-than-expected hiring could still narrow the gap, the sustained volume and explicit AI-driven restructuring through early Q3 support the strong trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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