US-mediated diplomacy has shaped recent trader assessments of Russia-Ukraine peace talks, with envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner conducting bilateral meetings in Moscow and Kyiv in early September 2026. These visits produced temporary pauses in long-range strikes on the capitals and prompted Kremlin statements that trilateral negotiations remain possible, though officials described any resumption as premature without agreed timing or venue. Russia continues to condition progress on territorial concessions in Donetsk and other maximalist demands, while Ukraine stresses security guarantees and leader-level resolution of core issues. Planned follow-on trilateral meetings in the UAE, potentially in October, and the recent Russian parliamentary elections have focused attention on whether sustained US engagement can narrow gaps before winter escalations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$772,256 Vol.
30 sep 2026
30 de septiembre
4%
15 de octubre
25%
31 de octubre
43%
30 de noviembre
58%
31 de diciembre
68%
$772,256 Vol.
30 de septiembre
$369,158 Vol.
4%
15 de octubre
$34,806 Vol.
25%
31 de octubre
$41,605 Vol.
43%
30 de noviembre
$19,813 Vol.
58%
31 de diciembre
$288,162 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated diplomacy has shaped recent trader assessments of Russia-Ukraine peace talks, with envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner conducting bilateral meetings in Moscow and Kyiv in early September 2026. These visits produced temporary pauses in long-range strikes on the capitals and prompted Kremlin statements that trilateral negotiations remain possible, though officials described any resumption as premature without agreed timing or venue. Russia continues to condition progress on territorial concessions in Donetsk and other maximalist demands, while Ukraine stresses security guarantees and leader-level resolution of core issues. Planned follow-on trilateral meetings in the UAE, potentially in October, and the recent Russian parliamentary elections have focused attention on whether sustained US engagement can narrow gaps before winter escalations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
Volumen
$772,256Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated diplomacy has shaped recent trader assessments of Russia-Ukraine peace talks, with envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner conducting bilateral meetings in Moscow and Kyiv in early September 2026. These visits produced temporary pauses in long-range strikes on the capitals and prompted Kremlin statements that trilateral negotiations remain possible, though officials described any resumption as premature without agreed timing or venue. Russia continues to condition progress on territorial concessions in Donetsk and other maximalist demands, while Ukraine stresses security guarantees and leader-level resolution of core issues. Planned follow-on trilateral meetings in the UAE, potentially in October, and the recent Russian parliamentary elections have focused attention on whether sustained US engagement can narrow gaps before winter escalations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$772,256Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-mediated diplomacy has shaped recent trader assessments of Russia-Ukraine peace talks, with envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner conducting bilateral meetings in Moscow and Kyiv in early September 2026. These visits produced temporary pauses in long-range strikes on the capitals and prompted Kremlin statements that trilateral negotiations remain possible, though officials described any resumption as premature without agreed timing or venue. Russia continues to condition progress on territorial concessions in Donetsk and other maximalist demands, while Ukraine stresses security guarantees and leader-level resolution of core issues. Planned follow-on trilateral meetings in the UAE, potentially in October, and the recent Russian parliamentary elections have focused attention on whether sustained US engagement can narrow gaps before winter escalations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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