Trader consensus heavily favors no Gemini Pro release by September 30, driven by the lack of official announcements or credible reporting on imminent frontier model launches. Google has instead rolled out lighter variants like Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September and 3.8 Live models on September 15, focusing on real-time audio, agentic tasks, and cost-efficient reasoning rather than a new Pro flagship. Prior delays to Gemini 3.5 Pro and internal emphasis on training the more ambitious Gemini 4 support expectations of an October window. A last-minute preview or early access rollout could still shift odds, though historical patterns of extended testing make that improbable before month-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSin lanzamiento antes del 30 de septiembre 92%
30 de septiembre 3.3%
29 de septiembre 3.2%
24 de septiembre 3.1%
$117,593 Vol.
$117,593 Vol.
30 sep 2026
20 de septiembre
<1%
21 de septiembre
2%
22 de septiembre
3%
23 de septiembre
3%
24 de septiembre
3%
25 de septiembre
1%
26 de septiembre
1%
27 de septiembre
1%
28 de septiembre
<1%
29 de septiembre
3%
30 de septiembre
3%
Sin lanzamiento antes del 30 de septiembre
92%
Sin lanzamiento antes del 30 de septiembre 92%
30 de septiembre 3.3%
29 de septiembre 3.2%
24 de septiembre 3.1%
$117,593 Vol.
$117,593 Vol.
30 sep 2026
20 de septiembre
$318 Vol.
<1%
21 de septiembre
$562 Vol.
2%
22 de septiembre
$594 Vol.
3%
23 de septiembre
$479 Vol.
3%
24 de septiembre
$604 Vol.
3%
25 de septiembre
$308 Vol.
1%
26 de septiembre
$310 Vol.
1%
27 de septiembre
$312 Vol.
1%
28 de septiembre
$527 Vol.
<1%
29 de septiembre
$538 Vol.
3%
30 de septiembre
$888 Vol.
3%
Sin lanzamiento antes del 30 de septiembre
$102,017 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no Gemini Pro release by September 30, driven by the lack of official announcements or credible reporting on imminent frontier model launches. Google has instead rolled out lighter variants like Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September and 3.8 Live models on September 15, focusing on real-time audio, agentic tasks, and cost-efficient reasoning rather than a new Pro flagship. Prior delays to Gemini 3.5 Pro and internal emphasis on training the more ambitious Gemini 4 support expectations of an October window. A last-minute preview or early access rollout could still shift odds, though historical patterns of extended testing make that improbable before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Volumen
$117,593Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no Gemini Pro release by September 30, driven by the lack of official announcements or credible reporting on imminent frontier model launches. Google has instead rolled out lighter variants like Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September and 3.8 Live models on September 15, focusing on real-time audio, agentic tasks, and cost-efficient reasoning rather than a new Pro flagship. Prior delays to Gemini 3.5 Pro and internal emphasis on training the more ambitious Gemini 4 support expectations of an October window. A last-minute preview or early access rollout could still shift odds, though historical patterns of extended testing make that improbable before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$117,593Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors no Gemini Pro release by September 30, driven by the lack of official announcements or credible reporting on imminent frontier model launches. Google has instead rolled out lighter variants like Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September and 3.8 Live models on September 15, focusing on real-time audio, agentic tasks, and cost-efficient reasoning rather than a new Pro flagship. Prior delays to Gemini 3.5 Pro and internal emphasis on training the more ambitious Gemini 4 support expectations of an October window. A last-minute preview or early access rollout could still shift odds, though historical patterns of extended testing make that improbable before month-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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