Narendra Modi remains Prime Minister in his third consecutive term following the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, with the current parliamentary term scheduled to run until mid-2029. Recent milestones, including surpassing Jawaharlal Nehru’s record for consecutive days in office in June 2026, underscore his entrenched position within the BJP-led NDA coalition. Cabinet reshuffles and party organizational changes underway focus on preparing for the 2029 national vote and intervening state assembly elections, with no official announcements or verified developments indicating resignation, health-related withdrawal, or coalition collapse before the end of 2026. Opposition statements claiming his rule is in a “final phase” reflect standard partisan positioning rather than structural shifts. Traders’ 94.6% implied probability for “No” aligns with the constitutional timeline and absence of catalysts that could force an earlier exit.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Modi fuera antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?
¿Modi fuera antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?
Sí
5% probabilidad
$252,433 Vol.
$252,433 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Sí
5% probabilidad
$252,433 Vol.
$252,433 Vol.
30 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi remains Prime Minister in his third consecutive term following the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, with the current parliamentary term scheduled to run until mid-2029. Recent milestones, including surpassing Jawaharlal Nehru’s record for consecutive days in office in June 2026, underscore his entrenched position within the BJP-led NDA coalition. Cabinet reshuffles and party organizational changes underway focus on preparing for the 2029 national vote and intervening state assembly elections, with no official announcements or verified developments indicating resignation, health-related withdrawal, or coalition collapse before the end of 2026. Opposition statements claiming his rule is in a “final phase” reflect standard partisan positioning rather than structural shifts. Traders’ 94.6% implied probability for “No” aligns with the constitutional timeline and absence of catalysts that could force an earlier exit.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volumen
$252,433Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi remains Prime Minister in his third consecutive term following the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, with the current parliamentary term scheduled to run until mid-2029. Recent milestones, including surpassing Jawaharlal Nehru’s record for consecutive days in office in June 2026, underscore his entrenched position within the BJP-led NDA coalition. Cabinet reshuffles and party organizational changes underway focus on preparing for the 2029 national vote and intervening state assembly elections, with no official announcements or verified developments indicating resignation, health-related withdrawal, or coalition collapse before the end of 2026. Opposition statements claiming his rule is in a “final phase” reflect standard partisan positioning rather than structural shifts. Traders’ 94.6% implied probability for “No” aligns with the constitutional timeline and absence of catalysts that could force an earlier exit.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$252,433Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi remains Prime Minister in his third consecutive term following the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, with the current parliamentary term scheduled to run until mid-2029. Recent milestones, including surpassing Jawaharlal Nehru’s record for consecutive days in office in June 2026, underscore his entrenched position within the BJP-led NDA coalition. Cabinet reshuffles and party organizational changes underway focus on preparing for the 2029 national vote and intervening state assembly elections, with no official announcements or verified developments indicating resignation, health-related withdrawal, or coalition collapse before the end of 2026. Opposition statements claiming his rule is in a “final phase” reflect standard partisan positioning rather than structural shifts. Traders’ 94.6% implied probability for “No” aligns with the constitutional timeline and absence of catalysts that could force an earlier exit.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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