Tom Emmer's position as incumbent in Minnesota's 6th Congressional District, combined with the area's R+10 partisan voter index and Republican performance in recent cycles, underpins the 91.5% trader consensus. Emmer secured the Republican nomination in the August 11 primary with over 80% of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Doug Chapin advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. The district's 2024 presidential margin and Emmer's role as House Majority Whip further reinforce expectations of continuity. A late national shift in voter sentiment, major scandal, or unusually strong Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current fundamentals show limited pathways for such changes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes MN-06
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes MN-06
$42,538 Vol.
$42,538 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Tom Emmer (R)
92%
Doug Chapin (D)
10%
$42,538 Vol.
$42,538 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Tom Emmer (R)
$23,800 Vol.
92%
Doug Chapin (D)
$18,738 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Emmer's position as incumbent in Minnesota's 6th Congressional District, combined with the area's R+10 partisan voter index and Republican performance in recent cycles, underpins the 91.5% trader consensus. Emmer secured the Republican nomination in the August 11 primary with over 80% of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Doug Chapin advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. The district's 2024 presidential margin and Emmer's role as House Majority Whip further reinforce expectations of continuity. A late national shift in voter sentiment, major scandal, or unusually strong Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current fundamentals show limited pathways for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$42,538Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Emmer's position as incumbent in Minnesota's 6th Congressional District, combined with the area's R+10 partisan voter index and Republican performance in recent cycles, underpins the 91.5% trader consensus. Emmer secured the Republican nomination in the August 11 primary with over 80% of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Doug Chapin advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. The district's 2024 presidential margin and Emmer's role as House Majority Whip further reinforce expectations of continuity. A late national shift in voter sentiment, major scandal, or unusually strong Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current fundamentals show limited pathways for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$42,538Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Emmer's position as incumbent in Minnesota's 6th Congressional District, combined with the area's R+10 partisan voter index and Republican performance in recent cycles, underpins the 91.5% trader consensus. Emmer secured the Republican nomination in the August 11 primary with over 80% of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Doug Chapin advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. The district's 2024 presidential margin and Emmer's role as House Majority Whip further reinforce expectations of continuity. A late national shift in voter sentiment, major scandal, or unusually strong Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current fundamentals show limited pathways for such changes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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