Juan Soto’s elite plate discipline and consistent 16%+ walk rate have produced a commanding lead in total bases on balls over Aaron Judge, whose recent lower-leg and calf issues have sharply reduced his plate appearances late in the 2026 season. With roughly one week remaining, Soto’s historical per-PA advantage and ability to work deep counts against varied pitching have solidified trader consensus at 99.2% implied probability for the Mets outfielder to finish ahead. Judge retains strong on-base skills when healthy, yet the combination of volume disparity and Soto’s sustained discipline leaves little realistic path for a reversal absent an unprecedented late surge or abrupt schedule change.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?
MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?
Judge
<1% probabilidad
$30,929 Vol.
$30,929 Vol.
15 oct 2026
Judge
<1% probabilidad
$30,929 Vol.
$30,929 Vol.
15 oct 2026
This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Juan Soto’s elite plate discipline and consistent 16%+ walk rate have produced a commanding lead in total bases on balls over Aaron Judge, whose recent lower-leg and calf issues have sharply reduced his plate appearances late in the 2026 season. With roughly one week remaining, Soto’s historical per-PA advantage and ability to work deep counts against varied pitching have solidified trader consensus at 99.2% implied probability for the Mets outfielder to finish ahead. Judge retains strong on-base skills when healthy, yet the combination of volume disparity and Soto’s sustained discipline leaves little realistic path for a reversal absent an unprecedented late surge or abrupt schedule change.
This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 22, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
Volumen
$30,929Fecha de finalización
16 oct 2026Mercado abierto
May 22, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Juan Soto’s elite plate discipline and consistent 16%+ walk rate have produced a commanding lead in total bases on balls over Aaron Judge, whose recent lower-leg and calf issues have sharply reduced his plate appearances late in the 2026 season. With roughly one week remaining, Soto’s historical per-PA advantage and ability to work deep counts against varied pitching have solidified trader consensus at 99.2% implied probability for the Mets outfielder to finish ahead. Judge retains strong on-base skills when healthy, yet the combination of volume disparity and Soto’s sustained discipline leaves little realistic path for a reversal absent an unprecedented late surge or abrupt schedule change.
This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$30,929Fecha de finalización
16 oct 2026Mercado abierto
May 22, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Juan Soto’s elite plate discipline and consistent 16%+ walk rate have produced a commanding lead in total bases on balls over Aaron Judge, whose recent lower-leg and calf issues have sharply reduced his plate appearances late in the 2026 season. With roughly one week remaining, Soto’s historical per-PA advantage and ability to work deep counts against varied pitching have solidified trader consensus at 99.2% implied probability for the Mets outfielder to finish ahead. Judge retains strong on-base skills when healthy, yet the combination of volume disparity and Soto’s sustained discipline leaves little realistic path for a reversal absent an unprecedented late surge or abrupt schedule change.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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