Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat encompassing eastern and rural areas around Boise, where longtime incumbent Mike Simpson secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with 63 percent of the vote. Simpson’s decades of service, substantial fundraising advantage, and the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns underpin trader consensus around his commanding position ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Ellie Gilbreath advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Late-cycle shifts could still arise from turnout swings, agricultural or energy policy salience, or unforeseen campaign developments before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoID-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
ID-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$34,399 Vol.
$34,399 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mike Simpson (R)
95%
Ellie Gilbreath (D)
6%
$34,399 Vol.
$34,399 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mike Simpson (R)
$14,241 Vol.
95%
Ellie Gilbreath (D)
$20,158 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat encompassing eastern and rural areas around Boise, where longtime incumbent Mike Simpson secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with 63 percent of the vote. Simpson’s decades of service, substantial fundraising advantage, and the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns underpin trader consensus around his commanding position ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Ellie Gilbreath advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Late-cycle shifts could still arise from turnout swings, agricultural or energy policy salience, or unforeseen campaign developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volumen
$34,399Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat encompassing eastern and rural areas around Boise, where longtime incumbent Mike Simpson secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with 63 percent of the vote. Simpson’s decades of service, substantial fundraising advantage, and the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns underpin trader consensus around his commanding position ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Ellie Gilbreath advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Late-cycle shifts could still arise from turnout swings, agricultural or energy policy salience, or unforeseen campaign developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$34,399Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat encompassing eastern and rural areas around Boise, where longtime incumbent Mike Simpson secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with 63 percent of the vote. Simpson’s decades of service, substantial fundraising advantage, and the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns underpin trader consensus around his commanding position ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Ellie Gilbreath advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Late-cycle shifts could still arise from turnout swings, agricultural or energy policy salience, or unforeseen campaign developments before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes