Sarah Trone Garriott leads the IA-03 race in trader consensus due to her record of winning competitive, Republican-leaning Iowa Senate districts, including one carried by Trump, combined with slightly higher fundraising totals and emphasis on health care access, Medicaid restoration, and cancer research funding. Incumbent Zach Nunn faces headwinds from the district’s history of narrow margins and recent contrasts drawn by opponents on issues such as tariffs, economic pressures, and social policy votes including girls’ sports protections. The seat remains rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by multiple forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election, with both candidates unopposed in their June primaries and actively campaigning across the 21-county district on pocketbook and local priorities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Sarah Trone Garriott (D)
73%
Zach Nunn (R)
25%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Sarah Trone Garriott (D)
$3,840 Vol.
73%
Zach Nunn (R)
$5,898 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sarah Trone Garriott leads the IA-03 race in trader consensus due to her record of winning competitive, Republican-leaning Iowa Senate districts, including one carried by Trump, combined with slightly higher fundraising totals and emphasis on health care access, Medicaid restoration, and cancer research funding. Incumbent Zach Nunn faces headwinds from the district’s history of narrow margins and recent contrasts drawn by opponents on issues such as tariffs, economic pressures, and social policy votes including girls’ sports protections. The seat remains rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by multiple forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election, with both candidates unopposed in their June primaries and actively campaigning across the 21-county district on pocketbook and local priorities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Volumen
$9,738Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sarah Trone Garriott leads the IA-03 race in trader consensus due to her record of winning competitive, Republican-leaning Iowa Senate districts, including one carried by Trump, combined with slightly higher fundraising totals and emphasis on health care access, Medicaid restoration, and cancer research funding. Incumbent Zach Nunn faces headwinds from the district’s history of narrow margins and recent contrasts drawn by opponents on issues such as tariffs, economic pressures, and social policy votes including girls’ sports protections. The seat remains rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by multiple forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election, with both candidates unopposed in their June primaries and actively campaigning across the 21-county district on pocketbook and local priorities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$9,738Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Sarah Trone Garriott leads the IA-03 race in trader consensus due to her record of winning competitive, Republican-leaning Iowa Senate districts, including one carried by Trump, combined with slightly higher fundraising totals and emphasis on health care access, Medicaid restoration, and cancer research funding. Incumbent Zach Nunn faces headwinds from the district’s history of narrow margins and recent contrasts drawn by opponents on issues such as tariffs, economic pressures, and social policy votes including girls’ sports protections. The seat remains rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by multiple forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election, with both candidates unopposed in their June primaries and actively campaigning across the 21-county district on pocketbook and local priorities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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