Traders see the highest temperature in Munich on September 20 concentrated between 23°C and 24°C because the latest ensemble forecasts from European models show only marginal differences in boundary-layer warming and cloud cover. Key variables include the strength of southerly flow advecting milder air, the timing of any residual cloud decks that could limit daytime heating, and small shifts in the position of a weak surface high. With probabilities split 46.5% for 24°C versus 39% for 23°C, the market reflects this narrow uncertainty range; afternoon observations and the next model cycle will likely resolve whether peak readings reach the higher threshold or stay just below it.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 20 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 20 de septiembre?
24°C 48%
23°C 33%
25°C 14%
22°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
18°C o menos
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
33%
24°C
48%
25°C
14%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C o más
<1%
24°C 48%
23°C 33%
25°C 14%
22°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
18°C o menos
$31 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$281 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$50 Vol.
1%
21°C
$266 Vol.
1%
22°C
$589 Vol.
6%
23°C
$1,304 Vol.
33%
24°C
$3,636 Vol.
48%
25°C
$567 Vol.
14%
26°C
$146 Vol.
3%
27°C
$51 Vol.
<1%
28°C o más
$56 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Munich on September 20 concentrated between 23°C and 24°C because the latest ensemble forecasts from European models show only marginal differences in boundary-layer warming and cloud cover. Key variables include the strength of southerly flow advecting milder air, the timing of any residual cloud decks that could limit daytime heating, and small shifts in the position of a weak surface high. With probabilities split 46.5% for 24°C versus 39% for 23°C, the market reflects this narrow uncertainty range; afternoon observations and the next model cycle will likely resolve whether peak readings reach the higher threshold or stay just below it.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$6,976Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Munich on September 20 concentrated between 23°C and 24°C because the latest ensemble forecasts from European models show only marginal differences in boundary-layer warming and cloud cover. Key variables include the strength of southerly flow advecting milder air, the timing of any residual cloud decks that could limit daytime heating, and small shifts in the position of a weak surface high. With probabilities split 46.5% for 24°C versus 39% for 23°C, the market reflects this narrow uncertainty range; afternoon observations and the next model cycle will likely resolve whether peak readings reach the higher threshold or stay just below it.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,976Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the highest temperature in Munich on September 20 concentrated between 23°C and 24°C because the latest ensemble forecasts from European models show only marginal differences in boundary-layer warming and cloud cover. Key variables include the strength of southerly flow advecting milder air, the timing of any residual cloud decks that could limit daytime heating, and small shifts in the position of a weak surface high. With probabilities split 46.5% for 24°C versus 39% for 23°C, the market reflects this narrow uncertainty range; afternoon observations and the next model cycle will likely resolve whether peak readings reach the higher threshold or stay just below it.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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