The market's 100% implied probability on 24°C as Ankara's daily maximum reflects finalized observational data from official Turkish meteorological stations, including Esenboğa Airport records confirming the peak under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds. Multiple forecast models and real-time hourly readings converged on this value, consistent with late-September climatological norms for the Anatolian plateau where highs typically range 23–26°C. No significant model discrepancies or late-day surges altered the outcome. Only an improbable revision to the official station log or measurement error could shift resolution, though such adjustments are exceedingly rare once daily summaries are released.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoView resolved

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