Trader consensus reflects the contained May 2026 Andes virus cluster on the MV Hondius cruise ship, which produced only 13 cases and three deaths before quarantine and contact tracing ended transmission. Official CDC and WHO assessments emphasized extremely low public risk, noting that most hantaviruses spread solely via rodent excreta inhalation rather than sustained human-to-human contact, with the Andes strain's limited person-to-person capability requiring prolonged close exposure. No community outbreaks or imported chains emerged post-monitoring, aligning with historical patterns of sporadic, localized New World hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases. A realistic shift would require documented evolutionary changes enabling efficient aerosol transmission before symptoms or a massive rodent-driven surge exceeding typical annual incidence in endemic regions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Pandemia de hantavirus en 2026?
¿Pandemia de hantavirus en 2026?
Sí
3% probabilidad
$18,361,267 Vol.
$18,361,267 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
3% probabilidad
$18,361,267 Vol.
$18,361,267 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects the contained May 2026 Andes virus cluster on the MV Hondius cruise ship, which produced only 13 cases and three deaths before quarantine and contact tracing ended transmission. Official CDC and WHO assessments emphasized extremely low public risk, noting that most hantaviruses spread solely via rodent excreta inhalation rather than sustained human-to-human contact, with the Andes strain's limited person-to-person capability requiring prolonged close exposure. No community outbreaks or imported chains emerged post-monitoring, aligning with historical patterns of sporadic, localized New World hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases. A realistic shift would require documented evolutionary changes enabling efficient aerosol transmission before symptoms or a massive rodent-driven surge exceeding typical annual incidence in endemic regions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
Volumen
$18,361,267Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects the contained May 2026 Andes virus cluster on the MV Hondius cruise ship, which produced only 13 cases and three deaths before quarantine and contact tracing ended transmission. Official CDC and WHO assessments emphasized extremely low public risk, noting that most hantaviruses spread solely via rodent excreta inhalation rather than sustained human-to-human contact, with the Andes strain's limited person-to-person capability requiring prolonged close exposure. No community outbreaks or imported chains emerged post-monitoring, aligning with historical patterns of sporadic, localized New World hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases. A realistic shift would require documented evolutionary changes enabling efficient aerosol transmission before symptoms or a massive rodent-driven surge exceeding typical annual incidence in endemic regions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$18,361,267Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects the contained May 2026 Andes virus cluster on the MV Hondius cruise ship, which produced only 13 cases and three deaths before quarantine and contact tracing ended transmission. Official CDC and WHO assessments emphasized extremely low public risk, noting that most hantaviruses spread solely via rodent excreta inhalation rather than sustained human-to-human contact, with the Andes strain's limited person-to-person capability requiring prolonged close exposure. No community outbreaks or imported chains emerged post-monitoring, aligning with historical patterns of sporadic, localized New World hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases. A realistic shift would require documented evolutionary changes enabling efficient aerosol transmission before symptoms or a massive rodent-driven surge exceeding typical annual incidence in endemic regions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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