Joe Neguse, the Democratic incumbent since 2019, maintains a commanding position in Colorado’s 2nd Congressional District due to the seat’s consistent partisan lean, reflected in its D+20 Partisan Voter Index and repeated Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. The north-central district, anchored by Boulder and Fort Collins, delivered Neguse 68.4% of the vote in 2024, and he faced no primary opposition in June 2026. His Republican challenger, Kelley Dennison—a 27-year-old first-time candidate who won her low-turnout primary—has reported negligible fundraising and limited name recognition. These structural factors, including Neguse’s fundraising edge and institutional role, underpin the market’s 95% trader consensus for the Democrat. Only a major late-breaking scandal, health event, or sharp national realignment could realistically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCO-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CO-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$40,731 Vol.
$40,731 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Joe Neguse (D)
95%
Kelley Dennison (R)
3%
$40,731 Vol.
$40,731 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Joe Neguse (D)
$19,162 Vol.
95%
Kelley Dennison (R)
$21,569 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joe Neguse, the Democratic incumbent since 2019, maintains a commanding position in Colorado’s 2nd Congressional District due to the seat’s consistent partisan lean, reflected in its D+20 Partisan Voter Index and repeated Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. The north-central district, anchored by Boulder and Fort Collins, delivered Neguse 68.4% of the vote in 2024, and he faced no primary opposition in June 2026. His Republican challenger, Kelley Dennison—a 27-year-old first-time candidate who won her low-turnout primary—has reported negligible fundraising and limited name recognition. These structural factors, including Neguse’s fundraising edge and institutional role, underpin the market’s 95% trader consensus for the Democrat. Only a major late-breaking scandal, health event, or sharp national realignment could realistically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volumen
$40,731Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joe Neguse, the Democratic incumbent since 2019, maintains a commanding position in Colorado’s 2nd Congressional District due to the seat’s consistent partisan lean, reflected in its D+20 Partisan Voter Index and repeated Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. The north-central district, anchored by Boulder and Fort Collins, delivered Neguse 68.4% of the vote in 2024, and he faced no primary opposition in June 2026. His Republican challenger, Kelley Dennison—a 27-year-old first-time candidate who won her low-turnout primary—has reported negligible fundraising and limited name recognition. These structural factors, including Neguse’s fundraising edge and institutional role, underpin the market’s 95% trader consensus for the Democrat. Only a major late-breaking scandal, health event, or sharp national realignment could realistically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$40,731Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Joe Neguse, the Democratic incumbent since 2019, maintains a commanding position in Colorado’s 2nd Congressional District due to the seat’s consistent partisan lean, reflected in its D+20 Partisan Voter Index and repeated Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. The north-central district, anchored by Boulder and Fort Collins, delivered Neguse 68.4% of the vote in 2024, and he faced no primary opposition in June 2026. His Republican challenger, Kelley Dennison—a 27-year-old first-time candidate who won her low-turnout primary—has reported negligible fundraising and limited name recognition. These structural factors, including Neguse’s fundraising edge and institutional role, underpin the market’s 95% trader consensus for the Democrat. Only a major late-breaking scandal, health event, or sharp national realignment could realistically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes