**Recent committee action on repeal legislation has advanced the effort but left substantial procedural and timing obstacles intact.** The House Ways and Means Committee approved a provision within H.R. 10357 on September 16, 2026, by a 38-5 bipartisan vote to eliminate the 90% gambling-loss deduction cap enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and restore full offsetting of losses against winnings for the 2026 tax year. The measure now requires a full House floor vote—unlikely before the November midterms—plus Senate passage and presidential signature. With limited remaining legislative days in 2026, competing priorities, and the provision’s projected revenue impact, traders view enactment of full repeal before 2027 as improbable, sustaining the 79.5% implied probability on “No.”
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$72,301 Vol.
$72,301 Vol.
Sí
$72,301 Vol.
$72,301 Vol.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent committee action on repeal legislation has advanced the effort but left substantial procedural and timing obstacles intact.** The House Ways and Means Committee approved a provision within H.R. 10357 on September 16, 2026, by a 38-5 bipartisan vote to eliminate the 90% gambling-loss deduction cap enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and restore full offsetting of losses against winnings for the 2026 tax year. The measure now requires a full House floor vote—unlikely before the November midterms—plus Senate passage and presidential signature. With limited remaining legislative days in 2026, competing priorities, and the provision’s projected revenue impact, traders view enactment of full repeal before 2027 as improbable, sustaining the 79.5% implied probability on “No.”
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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