Matúš Vallo, the incumbent mayor backed by Team Bratislava along with PS, SaS, and the Democrats, holds an 87.5% implied probability as the clear frontrunner in the October 24 municipal election. Recent SANEP and other mid-2026 surveys placed him well ahead with roughly 37–41% support in a multi-candidate field, reflecting his established record on urban development, public transport, and eurofund absorption. Challenger Jozef Ráž, the transport minister running as an independent with Smer backing, trails at around 4%, while Martin Winkler, Dana Čahojová (who withdrew in early September), Miroslav Heredoš, Zuzana Šubová, and Ľubomír Geci each register low single-digit or sub-1% trader prices consistent with limited polling visibility and narrower bases. The wide gap mirrors Bratislava’s recent electoral patterns favoring the center-right/liberal coalition incumbent over national-government-aligned or independent alternatives.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMatúš Vallo 88%
Martin Winkler 5.3%
Miroslav Heredoš 5.1%
Jozef Ráž 3.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 oct 2026
Matúš Vallo
88%
Martin Winkler
5%
Miroslav Heredoš
5%
Jozef Ráž
4%
Dana Čahojová
3%
Zuzana Šubová
1%
Ľubomír Geci
<1%
Matúš Vallo 88%
Martin Winkler 5.3%
Miroslav Heredoš 5.1%
Jozef Ráž 3.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 oct 2026
Matúš Vallo
$7,365 Vol.
88%
Martin Winkler
$81 Vol.
5%
Miroslav Heredoš
$390 Vol.
5%
Jozef Ráž
$143 Vol.
4%
Dana Čahojová
$137 Vol.
3%
Zuzana Šubová
$196 Vol.
1%
Ľubomír Geci
$197 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 Bratislava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Bratislava as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Bratislava, Bratislava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).Matúš Vallo, the incumbent mayor backed by Team Bratislava along with PS, SaS, and the Democrats, holds an 87.5% implied probability as the clear frontrunner in the October 24 municipal election. Recent SANEP and other mid-2026 surveys placed him well ahead with roughly 37–41% support in a multi-candidate field, reflecting his established record on urban development, public transport, and eurofund absorption. Challenger Jozef Ráž, the transport minister running as an independent with Smer backing, trails at around 4%, while Martin Winkler, Dana Čahojová (who withdrew in early September), Miroslav Heredoš, Zuzana Šubová, and Ľubomír Geci each register low single-digit or sub-1% trader prices consistent with limited polling visibility and narrower bases. The wide gap mirrors Bratislava’s recent electoral patterns favoring the center-right/liberal coalition incumbent over national-government-aligned or independent alternatives.
The 2026 Bratislava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Bratislava as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Bratislava, Bratislava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Bratislava as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Bratislava, Bratislava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Volumen
$8,507Fecha de finalización
24 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://volby.statistics.sk/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Bratislava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Bratislava as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Bratislava, Bratislava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).Matúš Vallo, the incumbent mayor backed by Team Bratislava along with PS, SaS, and the Democrats, holds an 87.5% implied probability as the clear frontrunner in the October 24 municipal election. Recent SANEP and other mid-2026 surveys placed him well ahead with roughly 37–41% support in a multi-candidate field, reflecting his established record on urban development, public transport, and eurofund absorption. Challenger Jozef Ráž, the transport minister running as an independent with Smer backing, trails at around 4%, while Martin Winkler, Dana Čahojová (who withdrew in early September), Miroslav Heredoš, Zuzana Šubová, and Ľubomír Geci each register low single-digit or sub-1% trader prices consistent with limited polling visibility and narrower bases. The wide gap mirrors Bratislava’s recent electoral patterns favoring the center-right/liberal coalition incumbent over national-government-aligned or independent alternatives.
The 2026 Bratislava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Bratislava as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Bratislava, Bratislava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Bratislava as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Bratislava, Bratislava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
Volumen
$8,507Fecha de finalización
24 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://volby.statistics.sk/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Matúš Vallo, the incumbent mayor backed by Team Bratislava along with PS, SaS, and the Democrats, holds an 87.5% implied probability as the clear frontrunner in the October 24 municipal election. Recent SANEP and other mid-2026 surveys placed him well ahead with roughly 37–41% support in a multi-candidate field, reflecting his established record on urban development, public transport, and eurofund absorption. Challenger Jozef Ráž, the transport minister running as an independent with Smer backing, trails at around 4%, while Martin Winkler, Dana Čahojová (who withdrew in early September), Miroslav Heredoš, Zuzana Šubová, and Ľubomír Geci each register low single-digit or sub-1% trader prices consistent with limited polling visibility and narrower bases. The wide gap mirrors Bratislava’s recent electoral patterns favoring the center-right/liberal coalition incumbent over national-government-aligned or independent alternatives.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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