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icon for Werden Nord- und Südkorea direkte Gespräche führen, bis...?

Werden Nord- und Südkorea direkte Gespräche führen, bis...?

icon for Werden Nord- und Südkorea direkte Gespräche führen, bis...?

Werden Nord- und Südkorea direkte Gespräche führen, bis...?

Jan. 1, 2027

Jan. 1, 2027

$119,139 Vol.

31. Dez. 2026
Polymarket

$119,139 Vol.

Polymarket

31. Dezember

$35,387 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.North Korea continues to reject direct engagement with South Korea, maintaining its policy of treating the South as a hostile state while focusing on military modernization and ballistic missile tests. As of September 2026, recent launches and statements from officials including Kim Yo-jong have signaled no interest in resuming inter-Korean dialogue on South Korean terms. South Korean President Lee Jae Myung has pursued outreach and proposed talks on ending the Korean War armistice and advancing a peace regime, yet these efforts have received no positive response. U.S. President Trump’s push for a possible summit with Kim Jong-un, including scaled-back joint exercises, represents the main diplomatic channel under discussion, with Seoul seeking to leverage any U.S.-North Korea progress toward broader peninsula stability. Structural barriers such as denuclearization disputes and Pyongyang’s preference for bilateral U.S. talks keep prospects for direct North-South negotiations limited in the near term.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.

Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count.

The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$119,139
Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jun 30, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.North Korea continues to reject direct engagement with South Korea, maintaining its policy of treating the South as a hostile state while focusing on military modernization and ballistic missile tests. As of September 2026, recent launches and statements from officials including Kim Yo-jong have signaled no interest in resuming inter-Korean dialogue on South Korean terms. South Korean President Lee Jae Myung has pursued outreach and proposed talks on ending the Korean War armistice and advancing a peace regime, yet these efforts have received no positive response. U.S. President Trump’s push for a possible summit with Kim Jong-un, including scaled-back joint exercises, represents the main diplomatic channel under discussion, with Seoul seeking to leverage any U.S.-North Korea progress toward broader peninsula stability. Structural barriers such as denuclearization disputes and Pyongyang’s preference for bilateral U.S. talks keep prospects for direct North-South negotiations limited in the near term.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.

Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count.

The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$119,139
Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jun 30, 2026, 8:08 PM ET

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Werden Nord- und Südkorea direkte Gespräche führen, bis...?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „31. Dezember" mit 18%, gefolgt von „30. Juni" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 18¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 18% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Werden Nord- und Südkorea direkte Gespräche führen, bis...?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $119.1K generiert, seit der Markt am Nov 5, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Werden Nord- und Südkorea direkte Gespräche führen, bis...?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Werden Nord- und Südkorea direkte Gespräche führen, bis...?" ist „31. Dezember" mit 18%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 18% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „30. Juni" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Werden Nord- und Südkorea direkte Gespräche führen, bis...?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.