**Trader sentiment for rain locations on September 29, 2026, centers on official National Weather Service and IMD guidance showing elevated precipitation probabilities across parts of India and the southeastern United States.** The India Meteorological Department highlights isolated to scattered rainfall with thunderstorms and lightning over Himachal Pradesh, Northeast India, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, and South Interior Karnataka, driven by lingering monsoon influences and local convective activity. In the U.S., NOAA forecasts indicate thunderstorm chances developing Tuesday into Wednesday in Florida, Louisiana, and Mississippi amid a warming pattern and approaching frontal systems, with PoP values reaching 50-80% in some areas by late week. Model consensus from ensembles points to showery conditions rather than widespread stratiform rain, with resolution hinging on verified 24-hour precipitation thresholds at specific reporting stations. Updated NWS short-term forecasts and IMD bulletins expected overnight will refine steering patterns and intensity ahead of market close.