The Trujillo mayoral election on October 4, 2026, features a fragmented field of 15 candidates, with incumbent Mario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez (Alianza para el Progreso) and regional councilor Víctor Robert de la Cruz Rosas (Podemos Perú) as the clearest frontrunners in recent polling. Mid-September surveys showed Reyna ahead by roughly 8–11 points amid scattered support across parties, reflecting limited voter consolidation and substantial undecided shares. Trader pricing on Polymarket tracks this dynamic, assigning the two leading names the highest implied probabilities while discounting the rest. With no dominant frontrunner or major late-breaking shifts such as scandals, high-profile endorsements, or turnout-altering events in the final weeks, the contest remains closely balanced. Separation would likely require clearer final polling trends, district-level turnout patterns, or last-minute campaign developments before ballots close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez 47.5%
Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas 43%
Víctor Julio León Álvarez 9.6%
Víctor Alfonso Castañeda Carrera 2.4%
$26,128 Vol.
$26,128 Vol.

Mario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez
47%

Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas
43%

Víctor Julio León Álvarez
10%

Víctor Alfonso Castañeda Carrera
2%

José María Alberto Arcila Corales
1%

Alfredo Manuel Galindo Peralta
1%

Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera
1%

Benjamín Kalhet Reyes Rebaza
1%

Gheyli Katherin Tirado Rafael
<1%

Raúl Edgardo Aldana Dioses
<1%

Luis Ángel Zavala Espino
<1%

Milton Marcelino Ramírez Herrera
<1%

Jesús Alverto Velásquez Reyna
<1%

Carlos Enrique Alva Rojas
<1%

José Rodar Miranda Prado
<1%

Wilmar Alfredo Moreno Fuentes
<1%
Mario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez 47.5%
Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas 43%
Víctor Julio León Álvarez 9.6%
Víctor Alfonso Castañeda Carrera 2.4%
$26,128 Vol.
$26,128 Vol.

Mario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez
47%

Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas
43%

Víctor Julio León Álvarez
10%

Víctor Alfonso Castañeda Carrera
2%

José María Alberto Arcila Corales
1%

Alfredo Manuel Galindo Peralta
1%

Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera
1%

Benjamín Kalhet Reyes Rebaza
1%

Gheyli Katherin Tirado Rafael
<1%

Raúl Edgardo Aldana Dioses
<1%

Luis Ángel Zavala Espino
<1%

Milton Marcelino Ramírez Herrera
<1%

Jesús Alverto Velásquez Reyna
<1%

Carlos Enrique Alva Rojas
<1%

José Rodar Miranda Prado
<1%

Wilmar Alfredo Moreno Fuentes
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Trujillo as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Trujillo as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Trujillo mayoral election on October 4, 2026, features a fragmented field of 15 candidates, with incumbent Mario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez (Alianza para el Progreso) and regional councilor Víctor Robert de la Cruz Rosas (Podemos Perú) as the clearest frontrunners in recent polling. Mid-September surveys showed Reyna ahead by roughly 8–11 points amid scattered support across parties, reflecting limited voter consolidation and substantial undecided shares. Trader pricing on Polymarket tracks this dynamic, assigning the two leading names the highest implied probabilities while discounting the rest. With no dominant frontrunner or major late-breaking shifts such as scandals, high-profile endorsements, or turnout-altering events in the final weeks, the contest remains closely balanced. Separation would likely require clearer final polling trends, district-level turnout patterns, or last-minute campaign developments before ballots close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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