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icon for November-Referendum in der Schweiz: Was wird passieren?
Politik·Referenden

November-Referendum in der Schweiz: Was wird passieren?

icon for November-Referendum in der Schweiz: Was wird passieren?
Politik·Referenden

November-Referendum in der Schweiz: Was wird passieren?

Sep. 27

Nov. 29

Sep. 27

Nov. 29

NEU
28. Nov. 2026
Polymarket

$8,587 Vol.

Polymarket

Mehrwertsteuer-Bundesbeschluss

$1,294 Vol.

72%

Initiative zur Einschränkung von Feuerwerk

$5,601 Vol.

32%

Ehe-Besteuerungsinitiative

$1,330 Vol.

17%

Kriegsmaterial-Änderung

$361 Vol.

50%

As of market creation, four referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on November 29, 2026: - Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT - Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ - Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ - Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote. If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held. The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Swiss voters will decide four federal measures on November 29, 2026, including a mandatory referendum on raising VAT to fund additional AVS old-age pension payments, a popular initiative restricting fireworks sales and use, another initiative eliminating the federal marriage tax penalty for couples, and an amendment to the Federal Act on War Material that would ease arms export restrictions to certain partner countries even during conflicts. Trader positioning reflects the War Material amendment’s edge, tied to ongoing debates over Swiss neutrality traditions, security cooperation with European partners, and parliamentary passage amid post-2022 geopolitical pressures. The VAT decree benefits from historical support for pension measures and mandatory status, while the two popular initiatives face headwinds after parliamentary rejection. Recent polling trends ahead of the September 27 neutrality initiative vote, which showed likely rejection of stricter constitutional limits, provide context on voter priorities around defense policy and EU ties entering the final campaign period.

As of market creation, four referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on November 29, 2026:

- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.

If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.

The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.As of market creation, four referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on November 29, 2026: - Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT - Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ - Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ - Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote. If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held. The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,587
Enddatum
29. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 13, 2026, 8:06 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
As of market creation, four referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on November 29, 2026: - Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT - Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ - Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ - Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote. If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held. The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Swiss voters will decide four federal measures on November 29, 2026, including a mandatory referendum on raising VAT to fund additional AVS old-age pension payments, a popular initiative restricting fireworks sales and use, another initiative eliminating the federal marriage tax penalty for couples, and an amendment to the Federal Act on War Material that would ease arms export restrictions to certain partner countries even during conflicts. Trader positioning reflects the War Material amendment’s edge, tied to ongoing debates over Swiss neutrality traditions, security cooperation with European partners, and parliamentary passage amid post-2022 geopolitical pressures. The VAT decree benefits from historical support for pension measures and mandatory status, while the two popular initiatives face headwinds after parliamentary rejection. Recent polling trends ahead of the September 27 neutrality initiative vote, which showed likely rejection of stricter constitutional limits, provide context on voter priorities around defense policy and EU ties entering the final campaign period.

As of market creation, four referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on November 29, 2026:

- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.

If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.

The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.As of market creation, four referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on November 29, 2026: - Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT - Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ - Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ - Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote. If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held. The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,587
Enddatum
29. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 13, 2026, 8:06 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...

Verwandte

icon for Wird die Initiative "Für sichere Lebensmittel – durch Stärkung einer nachhaltigen heimischen Produktion, Förderung pflanzlicher Nahrungsmittel und Sicherstellung von sauberem Trinkwasser (Ernährungsinitiative)" in der Volksabstimmung am 27. September 2026 in der Schweiz angenommen werden?

Wird die Initiative "Für sichere Lebensmittel – durch Stärkung einer nachhaltigen heimischen Produktion, Förderung pflanzlicher Nahrungsmittel und Sicherstellung von sauberem Trinkwasser (Ernährungsinitiative)" in der Volksabstimmung am 27. September 2026 in der Schweiz angenommen werden?

3%
Ja
icon for Wird der britische Haushalt eine Erhöhung der Kapitalertragsteuer beinhalten?

Wird der britische Haushalt eine Erhöhung der Kapitalertragsteuer beinhalten?

65%
Ja
icon for Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?

Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?

47%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„November-Referendum in der Schweiz: Was wird passieren?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 4 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Mehrwertsteuer-Bundesbeschluss" mit 72%, gefolgt von „Kriegsmaterial-Änderung" mit 50%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 72¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 72% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„November-Referendum in der Schweiz: Was wird passieren?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Jul 13, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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