SpaceX shares have traded in a narrow range near $152–$157 recently, producing a market capitalization of roughly $2.05–$2.07 trillion as of September 21. This positioning underpins the 49% implied probability assigned to the $2.00–$2.25 trillion band for month-end. Post-IPO volatility, including a sharp correction from June highs above $2.5 trillion, has left the stock sensitive to supply from expiring lockups and sentiment around Starlink revenue growth and the pending Starship orbital attempt targeted for September 22. Analysts remain divided, with price targets spanning wide ranges that reflect uncertainty over capital intensity, AI-related synergies, and execution milestones. Traders appear to price in stability near current levels absent a major positive or negative catalyst before September 30.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSpace Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
$2.00-$2.25T 49%
$1.75-$2.00T 27%
$2.25T+ 16.8%
$1.50-$1.75T 7.3%
$21,767 Vol.
$21,767 Vol.
<$1.00T
<1%
$1.00-$1.25T
<1%
$1.25-$1.50T
2%
$1.50-$1.75T
7%
$1.75-$2.00T
27%
$2.00-$2.25T
49%
$2.25T+
17%
$2.00-$2.25T 49%
$1.75-$2.00T 27%
$2.25T+ 16.8%
$1.50-$1.75T 7.3%
$21,767 Vol.
$21,767 Vol.
<$1.00T
<1%
$1.00-$1.25T
<1%
$1.25-$1.50T
2%
$1.50-$1.75T
7%
$1.75-$2.00T
27%
$2.00-$2.25T
49%
$2.25T+
17%
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX shares have traded in a narrow range near $152–$157 recently, producing a market capitalization of roughly $2.05–$2.07 trillion as of September 21. This positioning underpins the 49% implied probability assigned to the $2.00–$2.25 trillion band for month-end. Post-IPO volatility, including a sharp correction from June highs above $2.5 trillion, has left the stock sensitive to supply from expiring lockups and sentiment around Starlink revenue growth and the pending Starship orbital attempt targeted for September 22. Analysts remain divided, with price targets spanning wide ranges that reflect uncertainty over capital intensity, AI-related synergies, and execution milestones. Traders appear to price in stability near current levels absent a major positive or negative catalyst before September 30.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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