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icon for Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Sorell
Politik·Bürgermeister

Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Sorell

icon for Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Sorell
Politik·Bürgermeister

Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Sorell

Janet Gatehouse 59%

Kristian Horvath 18%

Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux 7%

Polymarket
NEU

Janet Gatehouse 59%

Kristian Horvath 18%

Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux 7%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Janet Gatehouse

Janet Gatehouse

$3,887 Vol.

59%

icon for Kristian Horvath

Kristian Horvath

$1,521 Vol.

18%

icon for Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux

Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux

$286 Vol.

7%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Janet Gatehouse holds the leading position in trader consensus as the incumbent mayor of Sorell Council ahead of Tasmania’s October 27, 2026 local government elections. A large field of candidates, with nominations still open until September 21, has produced fragmented pricing across most contenders. Kristian Horvath and Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux register as the next most visible options, while the balance sit near even implied probabilities. The tight positioning reflects the preferential voting system, limited public polling, and absence of decisive recent campaign developments or major local issues such as planning and infrastructure that have yet to consolidate voter preferences. Late nominations, preference flows, or targeted community advocacy could still shift outcomes before polls close.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volumen
$5,693
Enddatum
28. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Janet Gatehouse holds the leading position in trader consensus as the incumbent mayor of Sorell Council ahead of Tasmania’s October 27, 2026 local government elections. A large field of candidates, with nominations still open until September 21, has produced fragmented pricing across most contenders. Kristian Horvath and Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux register as the next most visible options, while the balance sit near even implied probabilities. The tight positioning reflects the preferential voting system, limited public polling, and absence of decisive recent campaign developments or major local issues such as planning and infrastructure that have yet to consolidate voter preferences. Late nominations, preference flows, or targeted community advocacy could still shift outcomes before polls close.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volumen
$5,693
Enddatum
28. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Sorell" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 3 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Janet Gatehouse" mit 59%, gefolgt von „Kristian Horvath" mit 18%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 59¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 59% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Sorell" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 3, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Sorell" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 3 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Sorell" ist „Janet Gatehouse" mit 59%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 59% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Kristian Horvath" mit 18%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Sorell" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.