Łukasz Gibała holds the strongest position in the Kraków mayoral race due to consistent leads in recent opinion polls, where he registers 22–25% support as an independent candidate backed by the Kraków for Residents committee. This places him well ahead of Monika Piątkowska (KO- and PSL-endorsed) at 12–15% and other contenders including Daria Gosek-Popiołek and Michał Drewnicki in single digits. The fragmented field of eight registered candidates, following the May 2026 recall of incumbent Aleksander Miszalski, reduces the chance of any first-round majority and favors Gibała’s local profile and prior runoff performance in 2024. Candidate registration concluded in early September after signature verification, with the first round scheduled for 27 September and a potential runoff on 11 October. Trader consensus reflects these polling trends and the structural advantages of the leading independent in a low-turnout snap contest.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertŁukasz Gibała 83%
Monika Piątkowska 12%
Michał Drewnicki 3.9%
Rafał Komarewicz 2.4%
$24,214 Vol.
$24,214 Vol.

Łukasz Gibała
83%

Monika Piątkowska
12%

Michał Drewnicki
4%

Rafał Komarewicz
2%

Marianna Schreiber
1%

Daria Gosek-Popiołek
1%

Grażyna Zofia Świat
1%

Aleksandra Owca
1%

Jan Hoffman
1%

Marian Banaś
1%

Marta Ratuszyńska
1%

Łukasz Wantuch
<1%

Rafał Sonik
<1%

Sławomir Pietrzyk
<1%

Bartosz Bocheńczak
<1%

Paweł Śliz
<1%

Michał Klimek
<1%
Łukasz Gibała 83%
Monika Piątkowska 12%
Michał Drewnicki 3.9%
Rafał Komarewicz 2.4%
$24,214 Vol.
$24,214 Vol.

Łukasz Gibała
83%

Monika Piątkowska
12%

Michał Drewnicki
4%

Rafał Komarewicz
2%

Marianna Schreiber
1%

Daria Gosek-Popiołek
1%

Grażyna Zofia Świat
1%

Aleksandra Owca
1%

Jan Hoffman
1%

Marian Banaś
1%

Marta Ratuszyńska
1%

Łukasz Wantuch
<1%

Rafał Sonik
<1%

Sławomir Pietrzyk
<1%

Bartosz Bocheńczak
<1%

Paweł Śliz
<1%

Michał Klimek
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Łukasz Gibała holds the strongest position in the Kraków mayoral race due to consistent leads in recent opinion polls, where he registers 22–25% support as an independent candidate backed by the Kraków for Residents committee. This places him well ahead of Monika Piątkowska (KO- and PSL-endorsed) at 12–15% and other contenders including Daria Gosek-Popiołek and Michał Drewnicki in single digits. The fragmented field of eight registered candidates, following the May 2026 recall of incumbent Aleksander Miszalski, reduces the chance of any first-round majority and favors Gibała’s local profile and prior runoff performance in 2024. Candidate registration concluded in early September after signature verification, with the first round scheduled for 27 September and a potential runoff on 11 October. Trader consensus reflects these polling trends and the structural advantages of the leading independent in a low-turnout snap contest.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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