The October 5 Quebec provincial election has produced a tight contest in the Richmond riding, where Parti québécois candidate Bernard Sévigny holds a narrow lead in trader pricing over Coalition avenir Québec nominee Guillaume Rousseau. Sévigny’s profile as former Sherbrooke mayor provides strong local name recognition, while Rousseau, a University of Sherbrooke law professor known for constitutional advocacy including Bill 21, bolsters the CAQ’s position in a riding the party held in 2022. Provincial polling trends showing PQ gains across francophone and suburban areas have narrowed historical CAQ advantages, keeping the outcome sensitive to turnout and late-campaign momentum. Other candidates, including Hugo Fontaine for the Liberals, Dominic Bouffard for the Conservatives, and David Poulin-Latulippe for Québec solidaire, register minimal implied probabilities. Upcoming leader events and final riding-level surveys in the next two weeks could shift the balance before polls close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertBernard Sévigny 57%
Guillaume Rousseau 37%
Hugo Fontaine 6.7%
Dominic Bouffard <1%

Bernard Sévigny
57%

Guillaume Rousseau
37%

Hugo Fontaine
7%

Dominic Bouffard
1%

David Poulin-Latulippe
1%
Bernard Sévigny 57%
Guillaume Rousseau 37%
Hugo Fontaine 6.7%
Dominic Bouffard <1%

Bernard Sévigny
57%

Guillaume Rousseau
37%

Hugo Fontaine
7%

Dominic Bouffard
1%

David Poulin-Latulippe
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 3:51 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Abwickler
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Abwickler
0x69c47de9d...The October 5 Quebec provincial election has produced a tight contest in the Richmond riding, where Parti québécois candidate Bernard Sévigny holds a narrow lead in trader pricing over Coalition avenir Québec nominee Guillaume Rousseau. Sévigny’s profile as former Sherbrooke mayor provides strong local name recognition, while Rousseau, a University of Sherbrooke law professor known for constitutional advocacy including Bill 21, bolsters the CAQ’s position in a riding the party held in 2022. Provincial polling trends showing PQ gains across francophone and suburban areas have narrowed historical CAQ advantages, keeping the outcome sensitive to turnout and late-campaign momentum. Other candidates, including Hugo Fontaine for the Liberals, Dominic Bouffard for the Conservatives, and David Poulin-Latulippe for Québec solidaire, register minimal implied probabilities. Upcoming leader events and final riding-level surveys in the next two weeks could shift the balance before polls close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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