Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding lead in the NY-11 race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt across Staten Island and southern Brooklyn, combined with her established record and uncontested path through the Republican primary. Forecasters rate the seat solidly or safely Republican, reflecting historical voting patterns and limited Democratic success in recent cycles. Michael DeCillis secured the Democratic nomination in June after a low-turnout primary but faces structural disadvantages as a repeat challenger in a district without competitive general-election history. Trader consensus in prediction markets aligns with these factors, pricing in low odds of an upset absent major developments such as redistricting litigation, national political shifts, or late-cycle events that could alter turnout or candidate viability before the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-11 Wahlsieger
NY-11 Wahlsieger
$26,178 Vol.
$26,178 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Nicole Malliotakis (R)
94%
Michael DeCillis (D)
7%
$26,178 Vol.
$26,178 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Nicole Malliotakis (R)
$12,885 Vol.
94%
Michael DeCillis (D)
$13,293 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding lead in the NY-11 race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt across Staten Island and southern Brooklyn, combined with her established record and uncontested path through the Republican primary. Forecasters rate the seat solidly or safely Republican, reflecting historical voting patterns and limited Democratic success in recent cycles. Michael DeCillis secured the Democratic nomination in June after a low-turnout primary but faces structural disadvantages as a repeat challenger in a district without competitive general-election history. Trader consensus in prediction markets aligns with these factors, pricing in low odds of an upset absent major developments such as redistricting litigation, national political shifts, or late-cycle events that could alter turnout or candidate viability before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volumen
$26,178Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding lead in the NY-11 race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt across Staten Island and southern Brooklyn, combined with her established record and uncontested path through the Republican primary. Forecasters rate the seat solidly or safely Republican, reflecting historical voting patterns and limited Democratic success in recent cycles. Michael DeCillis secured the Democratic nomination in June after a low-turnout primary but faces structural disadvantages as a repeat challenger in a district without competitive general-election history. Trader consensus in prediction markets aligns with these factors, pricing in low odds of an upset absent major developments such as redistricting litigation, national political shifts, or late-cycle events that could alter turnout or candidate viability before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$26,178Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding lead in the NY-11 race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt across Staten Island and southern Brooklyn, combined with her established record and uncontested path through the Republican primary. Forecasters rate the seat solidly or safely Republican, reflecting historical voting patterns and limited Democratic success in recent cycles. Michael DeCillis secured the Democratic nomination in June after a low-turnout primary but faces structural disadvantages as a repeat challenger in a district without competitive general-election history. Trader consensus in prediction markets aligns with these factors, pricing in low odds of an upset absent major developments such as redistricting litigation, national political shifts, or late-cycle events that could alter turnout or candidate viability before the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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