Federal authorities executed a search warrant on Rep. Ilhan Omar’s Washington residence on October 12 as part of an active criminal investigation into alleged immigration paperwork irregularities and possible false statements tied to her or her late father’s citizenship process. Agents seized electronic devices, her passport, and other materials while issuing grand jury subpoenas to associates. No charges or arrest have followed, and Omar won re-election to her House seat on November 4 in a heavily Democratic district. Trader odds for an arrest by year-end remain low, reflecting the procedural steps still required in a politically sensitive probe of a sitting member of Congress, the absence of an indictment, and institutional norms limiting enforcement actions close to elections. Resolution hinges on any future charging decision by federal prosecutors.