Recent numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the GFS and ECMWF, indicate Mexico City highs near 24–26 °C on September 11 amid the ongoing North American monsoon, with scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover expected to moderate afternoon temperatures. At the city’s 2,240 m elevation, seasonal September averages hover around 23–24 °C, and persistent moisture from tropical waves favors convective activity that typically caps daily maxima below peak dry-season values. Traders appear to weigh the balance between model consensus on modest warming and the potential for heavier rainfall or thicker cloud decks to suppress readings, producing the current market-implied distribution centered on 25–26 °C outcomes. Updated official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and next model cycles will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 11. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 11. September?
26°C oder höher 47%
25°C 32%
24°C 16%
23°C 6%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
16°C oder weniger
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
6%
24°C
16%
25°C
32%
26°C oder höher
47%
26°C oder höher 47%
25°C 32%
24°C 16%
23°C 6%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
16°C oder weniger
$6 Vol.
1%
17°C
$6 Vol.
1%
18°C
$6 Vol.
1%
19°C
$6 Vol.
1%
20°C
$6 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
1%
22°C
$94 Vol.
4%
23°C
$71 Vol.
6%
24°C
$107 Vol.
16%
25°C
$246 Vol.
32%
26°C oder höher
$761 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the GFS and ECMWF, indicate Mexico City highs near 24–26 °C on September 11 amid the ongoing North American monsoon, with scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover expected to moderate afternoon temperatures. At the city’s 2,240 m elevation, seasonal September averages hover around 23–24 °C, and persistent moisture from tropical waves favors convective activity that typically caps daily maxima below peak dry-season values. Traders appear to weigh the balance between model consensus on modest warming and the potential for heavier rainfall or thicker cloud decks to suppress readings, producing the current market-implied distribution centered on 25–26 °C outcomes. Updated official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and next model cycles will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,308Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the GFS and ECMWF, indicate Mexico City highs near 24–26 °C on September 11 amid the ongoing North American monsoon, with scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover expected to moderate afternoon temperatures. At the city’s 2,240 m elevation, seasonal September averages hover around 23–24 °C, and persistent moisture from tropical waves favors convective activity that typically caps daily maxima below peak dry-season values. Traders appear to weigh the balance between model consensus on modest warming and the potential for heavier rainfall or thicker cloud decks to suppress readings, producing the current market-implied distribution centered on 25–26 °C outcomes. Updated official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and next model cycles will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,308Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the GFS and ECMWF, indicate Mexico City highs near 24–26 °C on September 11 amid the ongoing North American monsoon, with scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover expected to moderate afternoon temperatures. At the city’s 2,240 m elevation, seasonal September averages hover around 23–24 °C, and persistent moisture from tropical waves favors convective activity that typically caps daily maxima below peak dry-season values. Traders appear to weigh the balance between model consensus on modest warming and the potential for heavier rainfall or thicker cloud decks to suppress readings, producing the current market-implied distribution centered on 25–26 °C outcomes. Updated official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and next model cycles will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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