Traders have driven the market-implied probability for a 28°C high in Busan on September 22 to near-certainty because official Korea Meteorological Administration observations and model consensus show afternoon temperatures peaking at or just below that threshold under clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and high pressure. Daytime heating with dew points in the mid-teens and minimal cloud cover supports this outcome, consistent with late-September climatology for the region. The dominant positioning reflects real-time surface data and short-range forecasts from agencies like KMA, where traders betting real capital converge on the most likely maximum. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-day marine-layer intrusion, stronger onshore winds, or rapid cloud build-up that caps readings a degree lower, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Busan am 22. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Busan am 22. September?
28°C 100%
22°C oder niedriger <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$42,284 Vol.
$42,284 Vol.
22. Sep. 2026
22°C oder niedriger
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Ja
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C oder höher
Nein
28°C 100%
22°C oder niedriger <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$42,284 Vol.
$42,284 Vol.
22. Sep. 2026
22°C oder niedriger
$1,135 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$111 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$229 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$180 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$2,492 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$15,329 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$9,278 Vol.
Ja
29°C
$6,989 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$4,760 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$1,485 Vol.
Nein
32°C oder höher
$297 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have driven the market-implied probability for a 28°C high in Busan on September 22 to near-certainty because official Korea Meteorological Administration observations and model consensus show afternoon temperatures peaking at or just below that threshold under clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and high pressure. Daytime heating with dew points in the mid-teens and minimal cloud cover supports this outcome, consistent with late-September climatology for the region. The dominant positioning reflects real-time surface data and short-range forecasts from agencies like KMA, where traders betting real capital converge on the most likely maximum. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-day marine-layer intrusion, stronger onshore winds, or rapid cloud build-up that caps readings a degree lower, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$42,284Enddatum
22. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have driven the market-implied probability for a 28°C high in Busan on September 22 to near-certainty because official Korea Meteorological Administration observations and model consensus show afternoon temperatures peaking at or just below that threshold under clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and high pressure. Daytime heating with dew points in the mid-teens and minimal cloud cover supports this outcome, consistent with late-September climatology for the region. The dominant positioning reflects real-time surface data and short-range forecasts from agencies like KMA, where traders betting real capital converge on the most likely maximum. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-day marine-layer intrusion, stronger onshore winds, or rapid cloud build-up that caps readings a degree lower, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$42,284Enddatum
22. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Traders have driven the market-implied probability for a 28°C high in Busan on September 22 to near-certainty because official Korea Meteorological Administration observations and model consensus show afternoon temperatures peaking at or just below that threshold under clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and high pressure. Daytime heating with dew points in the mid-teens and minimal cloud cover supports this outcome, consistent with late-September climatology for the region. The dominant positioning reflects real-time surface data and short-range forecasts from agencies like KMA, where traders betting real capital converge on the most likely maximum. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-day marine-layer intrusion, stronger onshore winds, or rapid cloud build-up that caps readings a degree lower, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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